Apple Inc. (AAPL) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
AAPL
Apple Inc.
AAPL (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 4,412 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 2,023 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 911.6 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 2,934 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 33.54 Bil. USD
Total Debt 112.4 Bil. USD
Equity Value 2,877 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 14.95 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 192.4 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.11%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.73%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.7%

Monetary values are in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-09-27 2027-09-27 2028-09-27 2029-09-27 2030-09-27 2031-09-27 2032-09-27 2033-09-27 2034-09-27 2035-09-27

amounts of USD except for #

2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
Revenue 440,602 465,616 491,137 517,095 543,413 570,005 596,782 623,647 650,501 677,237
Revenue Growth Rate 5.87% 5.68% 5.48% 5.29% 5.09% 4.89% 4.7% 4.5% 4.31% 4.11%
Operating Cash Flow 126,585 133,771 141,104 148,561 156,122 163,762 171,455 179,174 186,889 194,570
Operating Cash Flow Margin 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73% 28.73%
Capital Expenditure -16,302 -17,228 -18,172 -19,133 -20,106 -21,090 -22,081 -23,075 -24,069 -25,058
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7% -3.7%
Free Cash Flow 110,283 116,544 122,932 129,429 136,016 142,672 149,374 156,099 162,820 169,512
Free Cash Flow Margin 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03% 25.03%
Compounded Discount Rate 7.17% 15.86% 25.28% 35.44% 46.43% 58.3% 71.18% 85.06% 100.1% 116.3%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 102,907 100,591 98,124 95,561 92,891 90,127 87,264 84,351 81,383 78,372

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Revenue 328,359 416,161 416,161 391,035 383,285 394,328 365,817 274,515 260,174 265,595 229,234 215,639
Revenue Growth Rate 6.46% 0% 6.43% 2.02% -2.8% 7.79% 33.26% 5.51% -2.04% 15.86% 6.3% -7.73%
Cost of Revenue 188,223 220,960 220,960 210,352 214,137 223,546 212,981 169,559 161,782 163,756 141,048 131,376
Gross Profit 140,135 195,201 195,201 180,683 169,148 170,782 152,836 104,956 98,392 101,839 88,186 84,263
Gross Margin 41.93% 46.91% 46.91% 46.21% 44.13% 43.31% 41.78% 38.23% 37.82% 38.34% 38.47% 39.08%
Operating Income 95,862 133,050 133,050 123,216 114,301 119,437 108,949 66,288 63,930 70,898 61,344 60,024
Operating Margin 28.67% 31.97% 31.97% 31.51% 29.82% 30.29% 29.78% 24.15% 24.57% 26.69% 26.76% 27.84%
Net Income 79,588 112,010 112,010 93,736 96,995 99,803 94,680 57,411 55,256 59,531 48,351 45,687
Net Margin 23.74% 26.92% 26.92% 23.97% 25.31% 25.31% 25.88% 20.91% 21.24% 22.41% 21.09% 21.19%
Cash from Operating Activities 94,173 111,482 111,482 118,254 110,543 122,151 104,038 80,674 69,391 77,434 64,225 66,231
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.73% 26.79% 26.79% 30.24% 28.84% 30.98% 28.44% 29.39% 26.67% 29.15% 28.02% 30.71%
Capital Expenditure -11,372 -12,715 -12,715 -9,447 -10,959 -10,708 -11,085 -7,309 -10,495 -13,313 -12,795 -13,548
Free Cash Flow 82,801 98,767 98,767 108,807 99,584 111,443 92,953 73,365 58,896 64,121 51,430 52,683
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Discounting Cash Flows

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