Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
ADI (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 102.1 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 67.89 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 19.39 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 87.28 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 2.5 Bil. USD
Total Debt 8.66 Bil. USD
Equity Value 82.27 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 490.8 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 167.6 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.22%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 37.59%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 5.37%
Cost of Equity 8.82%
Equity Weight 94.51%
Cost of Debt 3.67%
Debt Weight 5.49%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 11.01%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR 6.94%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-11-01 2027-11-01 2028-11-01 2029-11-01 2030-11-01

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Nov 01
2026
Nov 01
2027
Nov 01
2028
Nov 01
2029
Nov 01
2030
Nov 01
Revenue 11,020 12,233 13,580 15,075 16,735 18,577
Revenue Growth Rate 16.89% 11.01% 11.01% 11.01% 11.01% 11.01%
Operating Cash Flow 4,812 4,598 5,105 5,667 6,291 6,983
Operating Cash Flow Margin 43.67% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59%
Capital Expenditure 533.6 657.4 729.8 810.1 899.3 998.3
Capital Expenditure Margin 4.84% 5.37% 5.37% 5.37% 5.37% 5.37%
Free Cash Flow 4,279 3,941 4,375 4,857 5,391 5,985
Free Cash Flow Margin 38.83% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22%
Compounded Discount Rate
6.42% 15.47% 25.32% 35.98% 47.55%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 4,279 3,703 3,789 3,875 3,965 4,056

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 27
2025
Nov 01
2024
Nov 02
2023
Oct 31
2022
Oct 28
2021
Oct 30
2020
Oct 31
2019
Nov 02
2018
Oct 31
2017
Oct 31
2016
Nov 01
Revenue 8,617 11,020 11,020 9,427 12,306 12,014 7,318 5,603 5,991 6,225 5,246
Revenue Growth Rate 11.01% 0% 16.89% -23.39% 2.43% 64.16% 30.61% -6.48% -3.75% 18.65%
Cost of Revenue 3,216 4,434 4,996 4,046 4,428 4,210 2,462 1,913 1,977 1,974 1,719
Gross Profit 5,401 6,586 6,024 5,381 7,877 7,804 4,856 3,690 4,014 4,250 3,527
Gross Margin 63.52% 59.77% 54.66% 57.08% 64.01% 64.96% 66.36% 65.87% 67% 68.28% 67.23%
Operating Income 2,303 2,932 3,002 2,033 3,823 3,279 1,692 1,498 1,711 1,900 1,163
Operating Margin 26.49% 26.61% 27.25% 21.56% 31.07% 27.29% 23.12% 26.74% 28.55% 30.52% 22.16%
Net Income 1,852 2,267 2,267 1,635 3,315 2,749 1,390 1,221 1,363 1,507 805.4
Net Margin 21.14% 20.58% 20.58% 17.35% 26.94% 22.88% 19% 21.79% 22.75% 24.21% 15.35%
Cash from Operating Activities 3,146 4,812 4,812 3,853 4,818 4,475 2,735 2,008 2,253 2,442 1,113 1,281
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 37.59% 43.67% 43.67% 40.87% 39.15% 37.25% 37.37% 35.85% 37.61% 39.24% 21.21%
Capital Expenditure 466.3 533.6 533.6 730.5 1,261 699.3 343.7 165.7 275.4 254.9 204.1 127.4
Capital Expenditure Margin 5.37% 4.84% 4.84% 7.75% 10.25% 5.82% 4.7% 2.96% 4.6% 4.09% 3.89%
Free Cash Flow 2,679 4,279 4,279 3,122 3,556 3,776 2,391 1,843 1,978 2,187 908.5 1,153
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Discounting Cash Flows

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