Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
ADI
Analog Devices, Inc.
ADI (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 192.3 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 87.28 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 37.13 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 124.4 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 2.5 Bil. USD
Total Debt 8.66 Bil. USD
Equity Value 119.4 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 490.8 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 243.2 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.22%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 37.59%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -5.37%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-11-01 2027-11-01 2028-11-01 2029-11-01 2030-11-01 2031-11-01 2032-11-01 2033-11-01 2034-11-01 2035-11-01

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Nov 01
2027
Nov 01
2028
Nov 01
2029
Nov 01
2030
Nov 01
2031
Nov 01
2032
Nov 01
2033
Nov 01
2034
Nov 01
2035
Nov 01
Revenue 12,233 13,488 14,769 16,061 17,344 18,600 19,806 20,940 21,982 22,910
Revenue Growth Rate 11.01% 10.26% 9.5% 8.75% 7.99% 7.24% 6.48% 5.73% 4.97% 4.22%
Operating Cash Flow 4,598 5,070 5,552 6,037 6,520 6,992 7,445 7,871 8,263 8,612
Operating Cash Flow Margin 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59% 37.59%
Capital Expenditure -657.4 -724.8 -793.7 -863.1 -932.1 -999.6 -1,064 -1,125 -1,181 -1,231
Capital Expenditure Margin -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37% -5.37%
Free Cash Flow 3,941 4,345 4,758 5,174 5,588 5,992 6,381 6,746 7,082 7,381
Free Cash Flow Margin 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22% 32.22%
Compounded Discount Rate 6.22% 14.96% 24.43% 34.66% 45.73% 57.71% 70.71% 84.74% 99.93% 116.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 3,710 3,780 3,824 3,842 3,834 3,799 3,738 3,652 3,542 3,411

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 26
2025
Nov 01
2024
Nov 02
2023
Oct 31
2022
Oct 28
2021
Oct 30
2020
Oct 31
2019
Nov 02
2018
Oct 31
2017
Oct 31
2016
Nov 01
Revenue 8,617 11,020 11,020 9,427 12,306 12,014 7,318 5,603 5,991 6,225 5,246
Revenue Growth Rate 11.15% 0% 16.89% -23.39% 2.43% 64.16% 30.61% -6.48% -3.75% 18.65% 11.76% 11.76%
Cost of Revenue 3,216 4,434 4,996 4,046 4,428 4,210 2,462 1,913 1,977 1,974 1,719
Gross Profit 5,401 6,586 6,024 5,381 7,877 7,804 4,856 3,690 4,014 4,250 3,527
Gross Margin 63.52% 59.77% 54.66% 57.08% 64.01% 64.96% 66.36% 65.87% 67% 68.28% 67.23%
Operating Income 2,303 2,932 3,002 2,033 3,823 3,279 1,692 1,498 1,711 1,900 1,163
Operating Margin 26.49% 26.61% 27.25% 21.56% 31.07% 27.29% 23.12% 26.74% 28.55% 30.52% 22.16%
Net Income 1,852 2,267 2,267 1,635 3,315 2,749 1,390 1,221 1,363 1,507 805.4
Net Margin 21.14% 20.58% 20.58% 17.35% 26.94% 22.88% 19% 21.79% 22.75% 24.21% 15.35%
Cash from Operating Activities 3,146 4,812 4,812 3,853 4,818 4,475 2,735 2,008 2,253 2,442 1,113 1,281
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 37.59% 43.67% 43.67% 40.87% 39.15% 37.25% 37.37% 35.85% 37.61% 39.24% 21.21%
Capital Expenditure -466.3 -533.6 -533.6 -730.5 -1,261 -699.3 -343.7 -165.7 -275.4 -254.9 -204.1 -127.4
Free Cash Flow 2,679 4,279 4,279 3,122 3,556 3,776 2,391 1,843 1,978 2,187 908.5 1,153
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Discounting Cash Flows

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