AGNC Investment Corp. (AGNC) Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model - Discounting Cash Flows
AGNC
AGNC Investment Corp.
AGNC (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
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Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, calculated using [Sum of Discounted Dividends], followed by a period of stable growth, calculated using [Discounted Terminal Value].

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

High Growth Years

High Growth Years

The estimated number of years during which the company is expected to experience high growth. After this period, the company will transition to a stable growth phase.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

High Growth Rate

High Growth Rate

The estimated growth rate of Earnings Per Share (EPS) during the high-growth phase.

High Growth Payout

High Growth Payout

The estimated dividend payout rate expressed as a percentage of Earnings Per Share (EPS) during the high-growth phase.

Stable Growth In Perpetuity

Stable Growth in Perpetuity

The estimated stable rate at which the company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) will grow in perpetuity after the last projected period.

Stable Payout

Stable Payout

The estimated dividend payout rate expressed as a percentage of Earnings Per Share (EPS) after the last projected period.

Results

Sum of discounted dividends 2.4 USD
Discounted terminal value 4.64 USD
Terminal value 7.57 USD
Dividend in stable phase 0.588 USD
EPS in stable phase 1.2 USD
Average historical Dividend Growth Rate -4.59%
Average historical Payout Ratio 399.6%
Average historical Return on Equity 4.9%

Historical and Projected Dividends

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
LTM
Feb 01
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
Earnings Per Share 1.48 1.41 1.41 1.35 1.29 1.23 1.17
Dividend per Share 1.44 1.44 0.692 0.66 0.63 0.601 0.574
Dividend Growth Rate 0% 0% -51.94% -4.59% -4.59% -4.59% -4.59%
Discounted Dividend 1.44 1.44 0.628 0.543 0.47 0.407 0.352

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 01
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Net Income 532.9 1,670 1,670 863 155 -1,190 749 -266 688 129 771 623
Equity 9,671 12,393
9,762 8,257 7,870 10,291 11,079 11,041 9,906 8,754 7,356
Return on Equity 4.9%
17.11% 10.45% 1.97% -11.56% 6.76% -2.41% 6.94% 1.47% 10.48% 7.82%
Common Dividends 1,381 1,569 1,469 1,336 4,464 710.6 884.1 628.7 1,186 1,327 816.4 800.5
Payout Ratio 399.7% 102.4% 97.3% 154.8% 2,785% -59.75% 117.1% -236.4% 172.4% 1,029% 105.9% 128.5%
Shares Outstanding 871 1,089 1,020 928 3,100 493.5 613.9 403 593.1 614.3 377.9 348
Reference Market Price 14.23 11.4 10.93 9.44 9.81 10.35 15.04 15.6 17.73 17.94 20.19 18.13
EPS 0.657 1.41 1.48 0.93 0.052 -2.41 1.23 -0.66 1.16 0.21 2.04 1.79
Dividend per Share 1.71 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.44 1.56 2.0 2.16 2.16 2.3
Dividend Growth Rate -4.59% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% -7.69% -22% -7.41% 0% -6.09% -7.26%
Dividend Yield 12.36% 12.63% 13.17% 15.25% 14.68% 13.91% 9.57% 10% 11.28% 12.04% 10.7% 12.69%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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