Alight, Inc. (ALIT) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
ALIT
Alight, Inc.
ALIT (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 9.55 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 7.71 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 759.8 Mil. USD
Enterprise Value 8.47 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 273 Mil. USD
Total Debt 2 Bil. USD
Equity Value 6.74 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 527.6 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 12.78 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.04%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.33%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 3.93%
Cost of Equity 9.07%
Equity Weight 16.46%
Cost of Debt 4.59%
Debt Weight 83.54%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 0.793%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR -6.98%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
Revenue 2,262 2,280 2,298 2,316 2,335 2,353
Revenue Growth Rate -3% 0.793% 0.793% 0.793% 0.793% 0.793%
Operating Cash Flow 360 258.3 260.4 262.4 264.5 266.6
Operating Cash Flow Margin 15.92% 11.33% 11.33% 11.33% 11.33% 11.33%
Capital Expenditure 110 89.58 90.29 91.01 91.73 92.45
Capital Expenditure Margin 4.86% 3.93% 3.93% 3.93% 3.93% 3.93%
Free Cash Flow 250 168.7 170.1 171.4 172.8 174.2
Free Cash Flow Margin 11.05% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4% 7.4%
Compounded Discount Rate
3.69% 8.22% 12.96% 17.89% 23.04%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 250 162.7 157.2 151.8 146.6 141.5

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 25
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 2,594 2,262 2,262 2,332 3,410 3,132 2,915 2,728 2,552 2,378 2,301 2,260
Revenue Growth Rate 0.794% 0% -3% -31.61% 8.88% 7.44% 6.86% 6.9% 7.32% 3.35% 1.81%
Cost of Revenue 1,806 1,793 1,793 1,538 2,270 2,136 2,222 1,894 1,669 1,527 1,498 1,524
Gross Profit 788 469 469 794 1,140 996 693 834 883 851 803 736
Gross Margin 30.27% 20.73% 20.73% 34.05% 33.43% 31.8% 23.77% 30.57% 34.6% 35.79% 34.9% 32.57%
Operating Income -114.1 -2,287 34 -90 -101 -14 194 147 265 204 190 203
Operating Margin -5.33% -101.1% 1.5% -3.86% -2.96% -0.447% 6.65% 5.39% 10.38% 8.58% 8.26% 8.98%
Net Income -615.5 -3,097 -3,097 -157 -345 -62 -60 -103 22 -21 24 126
Net Margin -26.53% -136.9% -136.9% -6.73% -10.12% -1.98% -2.06% -3.78% 0.862% -0.883% 1.04% 5.58%
Cash from Operating Activities 286.1 360 360 252 386 286 115 233 268 196 303 388
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.33% 15.92% 15.92% 10.81% 11.32% 9.13% 3.94% 8.54% 10.5% 8.24% 13.17% 17.17%
Capital Expenditure 102.2 110 110 121 140 148 114 90 77 80 57 77
Capital Expenditure Margin 3.93% 4.86% 4.86% 5.19% 4.11% 4.72% 3.91% 3.3% 3.02% 3.36% 2.48% 3.41%
Free Cash Flow 183.9 250 250 131 246 138 1 143 191 116 246 311
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Discounting Cash Flows

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