Andean Precious Metals Corp. (APM.TO) Discounted Cash Flow to Firm - Perpetual Growth - Discounting Cash Flows
APM.TO
Andean Precious Metals Corp.
APM.TO (TSX)

Fair Value per Share

CAD

Market Price CAD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Cash Flow to Firm (Perpetual Growth)

This model estimates the fair value of a share by discounting projected Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF), also known as Unlevered Free Cash Flow.

The terminal value assumes cashflow grows at a constant Growth in Perpetuity rate forever:

Terminal Enterprise Value = FCFF_(final forecast year) × (1 + Growth in Perpetuity) / (Discount Rate - Growth in Perpetuity)

The terminal value and projected FCFF are discounted to present value using WACC. Equity value is obtained by adjusting enterprise value for net debt:

Equity Value = Cumulative Present Value of FCFF + Present Value of Terminal EV + Cash and Short Term InvestmentsTotal Debt

Fair Value per Share = Equity Value ÷ Shares Outstanding

This model was inspired by Prof. Aswath Damodaran's spreadsheet ⬇️fcff2st.xls

Learn more: Prof. Aswath Damodaran's Guide to Discounted Cash Flow Valuation

Discount Rate (WACC)

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Equity Risk Premium

Equity Risk Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Historical Years

Historical Years

Number of trailing fiscal years used to compute historical averages/trends that feed the model’s default forecast assumptions (e.g., margins and growth).

WACC Calculation

Beta 1.77
* Equity Risk Premium 4.23%
+ Risk Free Rate 4.15%
= Cost of Equity 11.62%
* Equity Weight 94.58%
+ Cost of Debt 9.8%
* Debt Weight 5.42%
* (1 - Tax Rate) 79.02%
= WACC (Discount Rate) 11.41%

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Mar 08
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
Revenue 270.8 405.5 365.3 166 146.3
Revenue Growth Rate 31.2% 11.01% 120.1% 13.43% -19.73%
Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) 41.91 119.3 60.22 0.029 -11.94
EBIT Margin 9.44% 29.43% 16.49% 0.018% -8.16%
Income Tax Expense 11.92 27.89 13.94 5.81 0.023
Income Tax Rate 22.53% 20.98% 33.52% 9.47% 26.14%
Depreciation and Amortization (D&A) 16.86 21.77 28.95 6.93 9.77
D&A Margin 6.04% 5.37% 7.93% 4.17% 6.68%
Capital Expenditure (CapEx) -18.58 -33.07 -30.27 -8.1 -2.9
CapEx Margin -5.83% -8.16% -8.29% -4.88% -1.98%
Change in Working Capital -14.14 -47.77 -1.04 -4.3 -3.46
Change in WC Margin -4.25% -11.78% -0.284% -2.59% -2.36%
Free Cashflow to Firm (FCFF) 15.52 35.23 37.68 -5.44 -5.41
FCFF Margin 3.01% 8.69% 10.32% -3.28% -3.69%

Forecast Assumptions

High Growth Years

High Growth Years

Number of years with explicit projections before the model shifts to the terminal (perpetuity) period.

Growth in Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

Long-run constant growth rate used to calculate terminal value after the forecast period.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

Annual % increase in revenue during the forecast period.

EBIT Margin

EBIT Margin

EBIT as a % of revenue; reflects operating profitability and business mix.

Change in Working Capital Margin

Change in Working Capital Margin

Annual change in net working capital as a % of revenue; captures cash tied up (or released) in receivables, inventory, and payables.

  • A negative value represents cash tied up in operations (reduces FCFF).
  • A positive value represents a release of working capital (increases FCFF).
Depreciation and Amortization Margin

Depreciation and Amortization Margin

D&A as a % of revenue; a non-cash expense added back in cash flow, often linked to the asset base.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

CapEx as a % of revenue; cash reinvestment required to maintain and grow operations.

Monetary values in CAD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31

Fair Value Calculation

Exit Free Cashflow to Firm (FCFF) 48.54 Mil. CAD
Terminal Enterprise Value (EV) 558.4 Mil. CAD
Terminal Value Discount Factor 71.64%
Present Value of Terminal EV 325.3 Mil. CAD
+ Cumulative Present Value of FCFF 104.7 Mil. CAD
+ Cash and Short Term Investments 168.9 Mil. CAD
- Total Debt 73.31 Mil. CAD
= Equity Value 525.7 Mil. CAD
/ Shares Outstanding 149.2 Mil.
= Fair Value per Share 3.52 CAD

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
Revenue 479.2 628.8 824.9 1,082 1,420
Revenue Growth Rate 31.2% 31.2% 31.2% 31.2% 31.2%
Free Cashflow to Firm (FCFF) 16.38 21.49 28.2 37 48.54
FCFF Margin 3.42% 3.42% 3.42% 3.42% 3.42%
Present Value of FCFF 14.7 17.32 20.39 24.01 28.28
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Discounting Cash Flows

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