Aramark (ARMK) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple

Aramark

ARMK (NYSE)

(%)

Valuation
Aramark Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple

"""
    Model: Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple

# Render model description
model.render_description(r"""
## Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit EBITDA Multiple

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

Read more: [GitHub Documentation](https://github.com/DiscountingCashFlows/Documentation/blob/main/models-documentation/discounted-free-cash-flow.md#discounted-free-cash-flow-model-source-code)
""")

# Initialize assumptions
assumptions.init({
    "data": {
        "%discount_rate": None,
        "beta": data.get("profile:beta", default=1),
        "%risk_free_rate": data.get("treasury:year10"),
        "%market_premium": data.get("risk:totalEquityRiskPremium"),
        "%tax_rate": None,
        "%revenue_growth_rate": None,
        "exit_ebitda_multiple": None,
        "%ebitda_margin": None,
        "%capital_expenditure_to_ebitda": None,
        "%operating_cash_flow_to_ebitda": None,
        "historical_years": 10,
        "projection_years": 5,
    },
    "hierarchies": [{
        "parent": "%discount_rate",
        "children": [
            "beta",
            "%risk_free_rate",
            "%market_premium",
            "%tax_rate"
        ]
    }]
})

# WACC Calculation
risk_free_rate = assumptions.get("%risk_free_rate")
beta = assumptions.get("beta")
market_premium = assumptions.get("%market_premium")
cost_of_equity = risk_free_rate + beta * market_premium
cost_of_debt = data.get("income:interestExpense / balance:totalDebt")
if cost_of_debt is None:
    # Use the 10-year Treasury yield instead
    cost_of_debt = data.get("treasury:year10")

tax_rate = data.get("income:incomeTaxExpense / income:incomeBeforeTax")
if tax_rate is None or tax_rate < 0:
    # Fall back to the statutory corporate rate
    tax_rate = data.get("risk:corporateTaxRate")
assumptions.set("%tax_rate", tax_rate)

market_cap = data.get("profile:price * income:weightedAverageShsOut")
debt_weight = data.get(f"balance:totalDebt / ({market_cap} + balance:totalDebt)")
if debt_weight is None:
    # Assume zero leverage if missing
    debt_weight = 0

equity_weight = 1 - debt_weight
wacc = debt_weight * cost_of_debt * (1 - assumptions.get("%tax_rate")) + equity_weight * cost_of_equity

# Set the discount rate to the WACC
assumptions.set("%discount_rate", wacc)

# Compute ratios
data.compute({
    "%operatingCashFlowToEbitda": "flow:operatingCashFlow / income:ebitda",
    "positiveCapitalExpenditure": "-1 * flow:capitalExpenditure",
    "%capitalExpenditureToEbitda": "positiveCapitalExpenditure / income:ebitda",
    "%netIncomeToEbitda": "income:netIncome / income:ebitda",
    "%freeCashFlowToEbitda": "flow:freeCashFlow / income:ebitda",
    "%grossMargin": "income:grossProfit / income:revenue",
    "%ebitdaMargin": "income:ebitda / income:revenue",
    "discountedFreeCashFlow": "flow:freeCashFlow",
    "%revenueGrowthRate": "function:growth:income:revenue",
})

data.set_default_range(f"{-assumptions.get('historical_years')}->0")

# Calculate margins
assumptions.set("%ebitda_margin", data.average("%ebitdaMargin"))
assumptions.set_bounds(
    "%ebitda_margin", low=0, high="100%"
)

assumptions.set("%operating_cash_flow_to_ebitda", data.average("%operatingCashFlowToEbitda"))
# Limit OCF range
assumptions.set_bounds(
    "%operating_cash_flow_to_ebitda", low=0, high="100%"
)

assumptions.set("%capital_expenditure_to_ebitda", data.average("%capitalExpenditureToEbitda"))
# Limit CapEx range
assumptions.set_bounds(
    "%capital_expenditure_to_ebitda", low=0, high="90%"
)

assumptions.set("%revenue_growth_rate", data.average("%revenueGrowthRate"))
# Limit revenue growth
assumptions.set_bounds(
    "%revenue_growth_rate", low=0, high="25%"
)

# Calculate the Enterprise Value and set the exit EBITDA multiple
ev = data.get("profile:mktCap + balance:totalDebt - balance:cashAndShortTermInvestments")
exit_ebitda_multiple = data.get(f"{ev} / income:ebitda")
assumptions.set("exit_ebitda_multiple", exit_ebitda_multiple)

# Compute forecasted values and ratios
data.compute({
    "income:revenue": f"""
        income:revenue:-1 * 
        (1 + {assumptions.get('%revenue_growth_rate')})
    """,
    "income:ebitda": f"income:revenue * {assumptions.get('%ebitda_margin')}",
    "%revenueGrowthRate": "function:growth:income:revenue",
    "flow:operatingCashFlow": f"income:ebitda * {assumptions.get('%operating_cash_flow_to_ebitda')}",
    "computedCapitalExpenditure": f"income:ebitda * {assumptions.get('%capital_expenditure_to_ebitda')}",
    "flow:freeCashFlow": "flow:operatingCashFlow - computedCapitalExpenditure",
    "positiveCapitalExpenditure": "flow:operatingCashFlow - flow:freeCashFlow",
    "discountedFreeCashFlow": f"""
        function:discount:flow:freeCashFlow 
        rate:{assumptions.get('%discount_rate')} 
        continuous:true
    """,
    # Informational computations
    "%operatingCashFlowToEbitda": "flow:operatingCashFlow / income:ebitda",
    "%capitalExpenditureToEbitda": "positiveCapitalExpenditure / income:ebitda",
    "%freeCashFlowToEbitda": "flow:freeCashFlow / income:ebitda",
    "%ebitdaMargin": "income:ebitda / income:revenue",
    "#compoundedDiscountRate": f"""
        function:compound:1
        rate:{assumptions.get('%discount_rate')} 
        continuous:true
    """,
    "%compoundedDiscountRate": "#compoundedDiscountRate - 1",
}, forecast=assumptions.get("projection_years"))

# Calculate the terminal value
exit_multiple = assumptions.get("exit_ebitda_multiple")
end_year = assumptions.get("projection_years")
terminal_value = data.get(f"{exit_multiple} * income:ebitda:{end_year}")

# Discount the terminal value into the present
discounted_terminal_value = terminal_value / ((1 + assumptions.get("%discount_rate")) ** assumptions.get("projection_years"))

# Projected enterprise value calculation
projected_enterprise_value = discounted_terminal_value + data.sum(f"discountedFreeCashFlow:1->{assumptions.get('projection_years')}")

# Equity value calculation
equity_value = projected_enterprise_value + data.get("balance:cashAndShortTermInvestments") - data.get("balance:totalDebt")
value_per_share = equity_value / data.get("income:weightedAverageShsOut")

# Set the final value
model.set_final_value({
    "value": value_per_share,
    "units": "$"
})

fcf_5y_cagr = data.cagr(f"flow:freeCashFlow:-1->{assumptions.get('projection_years')}")
revenue_5y_cagr = data.cagr(f"income:revenue:-1->{assumptions.get('projection_years')}")

# Render results
model.render_results([
    [exit_ebitda_multiple, "Exit EBITDA Multiple (EV/EBITDA)", "#"],
    [data.get(f"income:ebitda:{assumptions.get('projection_years')}"), "Terminal EBITDA", "$"],
    [terminal_value, "Terminal Enterprise Value", "$"],
    [discounted_terminal_value, "Discounted Terminal Enterprise Value", "$"],
    [projected_enterprise_value - discounted_terminal_value, "Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow", "$"],
    [projected_enterprise_value, "Present Enterprise Value", "$"],
    [data.get("balance:cashAndShortTermInvestments"), "Cash and Equivalents", "$"],
    [data.get("balance:totalDebt"), "Total Debt", "$"],
    [equity_value, "Present Equity Value", "$"],
    [data.get("income:weightedAverageShsOut"), "Shares Outstanding", "#"],
    [value_per_share, "Estimated Value per Share", "$"],
    [data.get("treasury:year10"), "Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note", "%"],
    [cost_of_equity, "Cost of Equity", "%"],
    [equity_weight, "Equity Weight", "%"],
    [cost_of_debt, "Cost of Debt", "%"],
    [debt_weight, "Debt Weight", "%"],
    [revenue_5y_cagr, "Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR", "%"],
    [fcf_5y_cagr, "Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR", "%"],
])

# Render Chart
model.render_chart({
    "data": {
        "income:revenue": "Revenue",
        "flow:operatingCashFlow": "Operating Cash Flow",
        "income:ebitda": "EBITDA",
        "flow:freeCashFlow": "Free Cash Flow",
        "positiveCapitalExpenditure": "Capital Expenditure",
        "discountedFreeCashFlow": "Discounted Free Cash Flow",
    },
    "start": -assumptions.get("historical_years"),
    "end": "*",
    "properties": {
        "title": "Historical and Forecasted Data",
        "set_editable": [
            "income:revenue",
            "flow:operatingCashFlow",
            "flow:freeCashFlow",
            "income:ebitda",
        ],
        "hidden_keys": [
            "positiveCapitalExpenditure",
            "discountedFreeCashFlow"
        ],
    }
})

# Render Table for Estimated Future Data
model.render_table({
    "data": {
        "income:revenue": "Revenue",
        "%revenueGrowthRate": "Revenue Growth Rate",
        "income:ebitda": "EBITDA",
        "%ebitdaMargin": "EBITDA Margin",
        "flow:operatingCashFlow": "Operating Cash Flow",
        "%operatingCashFlowToEbitda": "Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA",
        "positiveCapitalExpenditure": "Capital Expenditure",
        "%capitalExpenditureToEbitda": "Capital Expenditure to EBITDA",
        "flow:freeCashFlow": "Free Cash Flow",
        "%freeCashFlowToEbitda": "Free Cash Flow to EBITDA",
        "%compoundedDiscountRate": "Compounded Discount Rate",
        "discountedFreeCashFlow": "Discounted Free Cash Flow",
    },
    "start": -1,
    "end": "*",
    "properties": {
        "title": "Estimated Future Data",
        "order": "ascending",
        "number_format": "M",
    }
})

# Render Historical Table
model.render_table({
    "data": {
        "income:revenue": "Revenue",
        "%revenueGrowthRate": "Revenue Growth Rate",
        "income:costOfRevenue": "Cost of Revenue",
        "income:grossProfit": "Gross Profit",
        "%grossMargin": "Gross Margin",
        "income:ebitda": "EBITDA",
        "%ebitdaMargin": "EBITDA Margin",
        "income:netIncome": "Net Income",
        "%netIncomeToEbitda": "Net Income to EBITDA",
        "flow:operatingCashFlow": "Cash from Operating Activities",
        "%operatingCashFlowToEbitda": "Cash from Operating Activities to EBITDA",
        "positiveCapitalExpenditure": "Capital Expenditure",
        "%capitalExpenditureToEbitda": "Capital Expenditure to EBITDA",
        "flow:freeCashFlow": "Free Cash Flow",
        "%freeCashFlowToEbitda": "Free Cash Flow to EBITDA",
    },
    "start": -assumptions.get("historical_years"),
    "end": 0,
    "properties": {
        "title": "Historical Data",
        "display_averages": True,
        "order": "descending",
        "number_format": "M",
    }
})

assumptions.set_description({
    "%discount_rate": r"""
        ## Discount Rate
        
        `Discount Rate` = `Equity Weight` * `Cost of Equity` + `Debt Weight` * `Cost of Debt` * (1 - `Tax Rate`)
        
        Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.
        
        [Read More](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/w/wacc.asp)
        
        ---
        
        ### Cost of Equity
        
        `Cost of Equity` = `Risk Free Rate` + `Beta` * `Market Premium`
        
        The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.
        
        [Read More](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/costofequity.asp#mntl-sc-block_1-0-20)
        
        ---
        
        ### Cost of Debt
        
        `Cost of Debt` = `Interest Expense` / `Total Debt`
        
        The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.
        
        [Read More](https://www.investopedia.com/terms/c/costofdebt.asp)
        
        ---
        
        ### Equity & Debt Weights
        
        `Debt Weight` = `Total Debt` / (`Market Capitalization` + `Total Debt`) = 1 - `Equity Weight`
        
        The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).
        
        ---
        
        ### Tax Rate
        
        `Tax Rate` = `Income Tax Expense` / `Income Before Tax`
        
        The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.
    """,

"beta": r"""
        ## Beta
        
        Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.
    """,

"%risk_free_rate": r"""
        ## Risk-Free Rate
        
        The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.
    """,

"%tax_rate": r"""
        ## Tax Rate
        
        `Tax Rate` = `Income Tax Expense` / `Income Before Tax`
        
        This is the company’s **effective tax rate**, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).
        
        This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.
        
        ## Discount Rate
        
        `Discount Rate` =  
        `Debt Weight` × `Cost of Debt` × (1 − `Tax Rate`)  
        + `Equity Weight` × `Cost of Equity`
    """,

"%market_premium": r"""
        ## Market Premium
        
        The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.
    """,

"%revenue_growth_rate": r"""
        ## Revenue Growth Rate
        
        The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.
    """,

"exit_ebitda_multiple": r"""
        ## Exit EBITDA Multiple
        
        The exit EV/EBITDA multiple used to calculate the terminal value.
    """,

"%ebitda_margin": r"""
        ## EBITDA Margin
        
        EBITDA expressed as a percentage of Revenue.
    """,

"%capital_expenditure_to_ebitda": r"""
        ## Capital Expenditure to EBITDA
        
        Capital expenditure expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.
    """,

"%operating_cash_flow_to_ebitda": r"""
        ## Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA
        
        Operating cash flow expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.
    """,

"historical_years": r"""
        ## Historical Years
        
        The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.
    """,

"projection_years": r"""
        ## Projection Years
        
        The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.
    """,
})

print(f"End of model.")

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit EBITDA Multiple

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate Discount Rate `Discount Rate` = `Equity Weight` * `Cost of Equity` + `Debt Weight` * `Cost of Debt` * (1 - `Tax Rate`) Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt. Read More Cost of Equity `Cost of Equity` = `Risk Free Rate` + `Beta` * `Market Premium` The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula. Read More Cost of Debt `Cost of Debt` = `Interest Expense` / `Total Debt` The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans. Read More Equity & Debt Weights `Debt Weight` = `Total Debt` / (`Market Capitalization` + `Total Debt`) = 1 - `Equity Weight` The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt). Tax Rate `Tax Rate` = `Income Tax Expense` / `Income Before Tax` The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.	%
↳ Beta Beta Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.	#
↳ Risk Free Rate Risk-Free Rate The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.	%
↳ Market Premium Market Premium The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.	%
↳ Tax Rate Tax Rate `Tax Rate` = `Income Tax Expense` / `Income Before Tax` This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items). This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible. Discount Rate `Discount Rate` = `Debt Weight` × `Cost of Debt` × (1 − `Tax Rate`) + `Equity Weight` × `Cost of Equity`	%
Revenue Growth Rate Revenue Growth Rate The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.	%
Exit Ebitda Multiple Exit EBITDA Multiple The exit EV/EBITDA multiple used to calculate the terminal value.	#
Ebitda Margin EBITDA Margin EBITDA expressed as a percentage of Revenue.	%
Capital Expenditure To Ebitda Capital Expenditure to EBITDA Capital expenditure expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.	%
Operating Cash Flow To Ebitda Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA Operating cash flow expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.	%
Historical Years Historical Years The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.	#
Projection Years Projection Years The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.	#

Results
Exit EBITDA Multiple (EV/EBITDA)	12.03
Terminal EBITDA	1.49 Bil. USD
Terminal Enterprise Value	17.95 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Enterprise Value	12.41 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow	1.47 Bil. USD
Present Enterprise Value	13.88 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents	639.1 Mil. USD
Total Debt	5.72 Bil. USD
Present Equity Value	8.79 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding	263.2 Mil.
Estimated Value per Share	33.41 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note	4.22%
Cost of Equity	9.42%
Equity Weight	64.03%
Cost of Debt	5.98%
Debt Weight	35.97%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR	2.85%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR	-3.64%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

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"y": 964780641, "oy": 964780641, "e": true, "d": 2026, "g": 4.75, "og": 4.75}, {"l": "2027", "x": "2027-10-03", "y": 992276889, "oy": 992276889, "e": true, "d": 2027, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2028", "x": "2028-10-03", "y": 1020556781, "oy": 1020556781, "e": true, "d": 2028, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2029", "x": "2029-10-03", "y": 1049642649, "oy": 1049642649, "e": true, "d": 2029, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2030", "x": "2030-10-03", "y": 1079557464, "oy": 1079557464, "e": true, "d": 2030, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}], "dataType": ".", "displayAs": "line", "dataTimeseries": "annual", "hidden": false}, {"label": "EBITDA", "mappingKey": "income:ebitda", "data": [{"l": "2016", "x": "2016-09-30", "y": 1242079000}, {"l": "2017", "x": "2017-09-30", "y": 1309839000}, {"l": "2018", "x": "2018-09-30", "y": 1414593000}, {"l": "2019", "x": "2019-09-30", "y": 1483732000}, {"l": "2020", "x": "2020-09-30", "y": 330276000}, {"l": "2021", "x": "2021-09-30", "y": 742136000}, {"l": "2022", "x": "2022-09-30", "y": 813367000}, {"l": "2023", "x": "2023-09-30", "y": 1034885000}, {"l": "2024", "x": "2024-09-30", "y": 1142057000}, {"l": "2025", "x": "2025-10-03", "y": 1268191000}, {"l": "2026", "x": "2026-10-03", "y": 1333122345, "oy": 1333122345, "e": true, "d": 2026, "g": 5.12, "og": 5.12}, {"l": "2027", "x": "2027-10-03", "y": 1371116332, "oy": 1371116332, "e": true, "d": 2027, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2028", "x": "2028-10-03", "y": 1410193147, "oy": 1410193147, "e": true, "d": 2028, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2029", "x": "2029-10-03", "y": 1450383652, "oy": 1450383652, "e": true, "d": 2029, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2030", "x": "2030-10-03", "y": 1491719586, "oy": 1491719586, "e": true, "d": 2030, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}], "dataType": ".", "displayAs": "line", "dataTimeseries": "annual", "hidden": false}, {"label": "Free Cash Flow", "mappingKey": "flow:freeCashFlow", "data": [{"l": "2016", "x": "2016-09-30", "y": 320932000}, {"l": "2017", "x": "2017-09-30", "y": 519564000}, {"l": "2018", "x": "2018-09-30", "y": 429238000}, {"l": "2019", "x": "2019-09-30", "y": 499008000}, {"l": "2020", "x": "2020-09-30", "y": -187752000}, {"l": "2021", "x": "2021-09-30", "y": 281735000}, {"l": "2022", "x": "2022-09-30", "y": 329744000}, {"l": "2023", "x": "2023-09-30", "y": 305023000}, {"l": "2024", "x": "2024-09-30", "y": 299089000}, {"l": "2025", "x": "2025-10-03", "y": 454462000}, {"l": "2026", "x": "2026-10-03", "y": 337413265, "oy": 337413265, "e": true, "d": 2026, "g": -25.76, "og": -25.76}, {"l": "2027", "x": "2027-10-03", "y": 347029543, "oy": 347029543, "e": true, "d": 2027, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2028", "x": "2028-10-03", "y": 356919885, "oy": 356919885, "e": true, "d": 2028, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2029", "x": "2029-10-03", "y": 367092102, "oy": 367092102, "e": true, "d": 2029, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}, {"l": "2030", "x": "2030-10-03", "y": 377554227, "oy": 377554227, "e": true, "d": 2030, "g": 2.85, "og": 2.85}], "dataType": ".", "displayAs": "line", "dataTimeseries": "annual", "hidden": false}, {"label": "Capital Expenditure", "mappingKey": "positiveCapitalExpenditure", "data": [{"l": "2016", "x": "2016-09-30", "y": 485708000}, {"l": "2017", "x": "2017-09-30", "y": 533823000}, {"l": "2018", "x": "2018-09-30", "y": 618113000}, {"l": "2019", "x": "2019-09-30", "y": 485219000}, {"l": "2020", "x": "2020-09-30", "y": 364434000}, {"l": "2021", "x": "2021-09-30", "y": 375344000}, {"l": "2022", "x": "2022-09-30", "y": 364755000}, {"l": "2023", "x": "2023-09-30", "y": 461406000}, {"l": "2024", "x": "2024-09-30", "y": 427425000}, {"l": "2025", "x": "2025-10-03", "y": 466573000}, {"l": "2026", "x": "2026-10-03", "y": 627367375}, {"l": "2027", "x": "2027-10-03", "y": 645247346}, {"l": "2028", "x": "2028-10-03", "y": 663636895}, {"l": "2029", "x": "2029-10-03", "y": 682550546}, {"l": "2030", "x": "2030-10-03", "y": 702003237}], "dataType": ".", "displayAs": "line", "dataTimeseries": "annual", "hidden": true}, {"label": "Discounted Free Cash Flow", "mappingKey": "discountedFreeCashFlow", "data": [{"l": "2016", "x": "2016-09-30", "y": 320932000}, {"l": "2017", "x": "2017-09-30", "y": 519564000}, {"l": "2018", "x": "2018-09-30", "y": 429238000}, {"l": "2019", "x": "2019-09-30", "y": 499008000}, {"l": "2020", "x": "2020-09-30", "y": -187752000}, {"l": "2021", "x": "2021-09-30", "y": 281735000}, {"l": "2022", "x": "2022-09-30", "y": 329744000}, {"l": "2023", "x": "2023-09-30", "y": 305023000}, {"l": "2024", "x": "2024-09-30", "y": 299089000}, {"l": "2025", "x": "2025-10-03", "y": 454462000}, {"l": "2026", "x": "2026-10-03", "y": 321681549}, {"l": "2027", "x": "2027-10-03", "y": 307298143}, {"l": "2028", "x": "2028-10-03", "y": 293498480}, {"l": "2029", "x": "2029-10-03", "y": 280375229}, {"l": "2030", "x": "2030-10-03", "y": 267838761}], "dataType": ".", "displayAs": "line", "dataTimeseries": "annual", "hidden": true}], "editableDates": {"2026-10-03": 16, "2027-10-03": 17, "2028-10-03": 18, "2029-10-03": 19, "2030-10-03": 20}, "properties": {"display_table": true}, "width": "full"}

Edit Chart Values	2026-10-03	2027-10-03	2028-10-03	2029-10-03	2030-10-03

↳ Growth Rate

Estimated Future Data

Monetary values in USD amounts except #	2025 Oct 03	LTM Feb 09	2026 Oct 03	2027 Oct 03	2028 Oct 03	2029 Oct 03	2030 Oct 03
Revenue	18,506	18,506	19,034	19,576	20,134	20,708	21,298
Revenue Growth Rate	6.35%	0%	2.85%	2.85%	2.85%	2.85%	2.85%
EBITDA	1,268	1,268	1,333	1,371	1,410	1,450	1,492
EBITDA Margin	6.85%	6.85%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%
Operating Cash Flow	921	921	964.8	992.3	1,021	1,050	1,080
Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA	72.63%	72.63%	72.37%	72.37%	72.37%	72.37%	72.37%
Capital Expenditure	466.6	466.6	627.4	645.2	663.6	682.6	702
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA	36.79%	36.79%	47.06%	47.06%	47.06%	47.06%	47.06%
Free Cash Flow	454.5	454.5	337.4	347	356.9	367.1	377.6
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA	35.84%	35.84%	25.31%	25.31%	25.31%	25.31%	25.31%
Compounded Discount Rate			4.89%	12.93%	21.61%	30.93%	40.96%
Discounted Free Cash Flow	454.5	454.5	321.7	307.3	293.5	280.4	267.8

Historical Data

Monetary values in USD amounts except #	Average	LTM Feb 09	2025 Oct 03	2024 Sep 30	2023 Sep 30	2022 Sep 30	2021 Sep 30	2020 Sep 30	2019 Sep 30	2018 Sep 30	2017 Sep 30	2016 Sep 30
Revenue	15,468	18,506	18,506	17,401	16,083	13,687	12,096	12,830	16,227	15,790	14,604	14,416
Revenue Growth Rate	2.85%	0%	6.35%	8.19%	17.5%	13.16%	-5.72%	-20.94%	2.77%	8.12%	1.31%	0.605%
Cost of Revenue	14,118	17,084	17,436	15,975	14,775	12,616	11,007	11,994	14,533	13,998	12,995	12,890
Gross Profit	1,349	1,422	1,070	1,426	1,309	1,072	1,089	835.9	1,695	1,792	1,609	1,525
Gross Margin	8.78%	7.69%	5.78%	8.19%	8.14%	7.83%	9%	6.51%	10.44%	11.35%	11.02%	10.58%
EBITDA	1,095	1,268	1,268	1,142	1,035	813.4	742.1	330.3	1,484	1,415	1,310	1,242
EBITDA Margin	7%	6.85%	6.85%	6.56%	6.44%	5.94%	6.13%	2.57%	9.14%	8.96%	8.97%	8.62%
Net Income	264.5	326.4	326.4	262.5	674.1	194.5	-90.83	-461.4	448.5	567.9	373.9	287.8
Net Income to EBITDA	12.15%	25.74%	25.74%	22.99%	65.14%	23.91%	-12.24%	-139.7%	30.23%	40.14%	28.55%	23.17%
Cash from Operating Activities	795.9	921	921	726.5	766.4	694.5	657.1	176.7	984.2	1,047	1,053	806.6
Cash from Operating Activities to EBITDA	72.37%	72.63%	72.63%	63.61%	74.06%	85.39%	88.54%	53.5%	66.33%	74.04%	80.42%	64.94%
Capital Expenditure	459	466.6	466.6	427.4	461.4	364.8	375.3	364.4	485.2	618.1	533.8	485.7
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA	47.05%	36.79%	36.79%	37.43%	44.59%	44.85%	50.58%	110.3%	32.7%	43.7%	40.75%	39.1%
Free Cash Flow	336.9	454.5	454.5	299.1	305	329.7	281.7	-187.8	499	429.2	519.6	320.9
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA	25.32%	35.84%	35.84%	26.19%	29.47%	40.54%	37.96%	-56.85%	33.63%	30.34%	39.67%	25.84%

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Market is Open

After-Hours Quote

Aramark Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit EBITDA Multiple

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Cost of Equity

Cost of Debt

Equity & Debt Weights

Tax Rate

Beta

Risk-Free Rate

Market Premium

Tax Rate

Discount Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

Exit EBITDA Multiple

EBITDA Margin

Capital Expenditure to EBITDA

Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA

Historical Years

Projection Years

Results

Historical and Forecasted Data

Estimated Future Data

Historical Data