Aramark (ARMK) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
ARMK
Aramark
ARMK (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 14.51 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 6.58 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 3.16 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 9.74 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 639.1 Mil. USD
Total Debt 5.72 Bil. USD
Equity Value 4.66 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 263.2 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 17.7 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.22%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 5.12%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.99%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-10-03 2027-10-03 2028-10-03 2029-10-03 2030-10-03 2031-10-03 2032-10-03 2033-10-03 2034-10-03 2035-10-03

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Oct 03
2027
Oct 03
2028
Oct 03
2029
Oct 03
2030
Oct 03
2031
Oct 03
2032
Oct 03
2033
Oct 03
2034
Oct 03
2035
Oct 03
Revenue 19,034 19,605 20,224 20,892 21,615 22,396 23,238 24,148 25,131 26,191
Revenue Growth Rate 2.85% 3% 3.15% 3.31% 3.46% 3.61% 3.76% 3.92% 4.07% 4.22%
Operating Cash Flow 974 1,003 1,035 1,069 1,106 1,146 1,189 1,236 1,286 1,340
Operating Cash Flow Margin 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12%
Capital Expenditure -569.3 -586.4 -604.9 -624.9 -646.5 -669.8 -695.1 -722.3 -751.7 -783.4
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99% -2.99%
Free Cash Flow 404.7 416.8 430 444.2 459.5 476.1 494 513.4 534.3 556.8
Free Cash Flow Margin 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13%
Compounded Discount Rate 5.24% 13.89% 23.28% 33.41% 44.38% 56.25% 69.13% 83.03% 98.08% 114.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 384.5 366 348.8 332.9 318.3 304.7 292.1 280.5 269.7 259.8

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 09
2025
Oct 03
2024
Sep 30
2023
Sep 30
2022
Sep 30
2021
Sep 30
2020
Sep 30
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
Revenue 15,468 18,506 18,506 17,401 16,083 13,687 12,096 12,830 16,227 15,790 14,604 14,416
Revenue Growth Rate 2.85% 0% 6.35% 8.19% 17.5% 13.16% -5.72% -20.94% 2.77% 8.12% 1.31% 0.605%
Cost of Revenue 14,118 17,084 17,436 15,975 14,775 12,616 11,007 11,994 14,533 13,998 12,995 12,890
Gross Profit 1,349 1,422 1,070 1,426 1,309 1,072 1,089 835.9 1,695 1,792 1,609 1,525
Gross Margin 8.78% 7.69% 5.78% 8.19% 8.14% 7.83% 9% 6.51% 10.44% 11.35% 11.02% 10.58%
Operating Income 592.2 791.8 791.8 706.5 625 415.4 191.4 -264.9 891.2 818.4 801.6 746.3
Operating Margin 3.67% 4.28% 4.28% 4.06% 3.89% 3.03% 1.58% -2.07% 5.49% 5.18% 5.49% 5.18%
Net Income 264.5 326.4 326.4 262.5 674.1 194.5 -90.83 -461.4 448.5 567.9 373.9 287.8
Net Margin 1.57% 1.76% 1.76% 1.51% 4.19% 1.42% -0.751% -3.6% 2.76% 3.6% 2.56% 2%
Cash from Operating Activities 795.9 921 921 726.5 766.4 694.5 657.1 176.7 984.2 1,047 1,053 806.6
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 5.12% 4.98% 4.98% 4.17% 4.76% 5.07% 5.43% 1.38% 6.07% 6.63% 7.21% 5.6%
Capital Expenditure -459 -466.6 -466.6 -427.4 -461.4 -364.8 -375.3 -364.4 -485.2 -618.1 -533.8 -485.7
Free Cash Flow 336.9 454.5 454.5 299.1 305 329.7 281.7 -187.8 499 429.2 519.6 320.9
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Discounting Cash Flows

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