ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. (ASX) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
ASX
ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd.
ASX (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 30.23 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 13.95 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 6.08 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 20.03 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 2.95 Bil. USD
Total Debt 8.42 Bil. USD
Equity Value 14.85 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 2.18 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 6.81 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.04%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 16.79%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -13.74%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31 2035-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
2035
Dec 31
Revenue 22,453 24,268 26,106 27,952 29,787 31,593 33,348 35,032 36,624 38,104
Revenue Growth Rate 8.59% 8.08% 7.58% 7.07% 6.57% 6.06% 5.56% 5.05% 4.54% 4.04%
Operating Cash Flow 3,770 4,075 4,383 4,693 5,001 5,304 5,599 5,882 6,149 6,398
Operating Cash Flow Margin 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79% 16.79%
Capital Expenditure -3,085 -3,334 -3,587 -3,841 -4,093 -4,341 -4,582 -4,813 -5,032 -5,235
Capital Expenditure Margin -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74% -13.74%
Free Cash Flow 684.8 740.2 796.2 852.5 908.5 963.6 1,017 1,068 1,117 1,162
Free Cash Flow Margin 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05% 3.05%
Compounded Discount Rate 6.79% 15.37% 24.68% 34.7% 45.53% 57.23% 69.91% 83.57% 98.33% 114.3%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 641.3 641.5 638.6 632.9 624.3 612.8 598.6 582.1 563.2 542.4

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 24
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 16,472 20,411 20,678 18,508 18,703 22,154 20,362 16,178 13,658 12,362 9,693 8,484
Revenue Growth Rate 8.59% -1.29% 11.73% -1.05% -15.58% 8.8% 25.86% 18.45% 10.49% 27.53% 14.26% -4.75%
Cost of Revenue 13,689 16,889 17,019 15,660 15,911 17,830 16,578 13,684 11,666 10,424 8,007 6,914
Gross Profit 2,783 3,522 3,659 2,847 2,793 4,324 3,784 2,494 1,993 1,938 1,686 1,570
Gross Margin 16.81% 17.26% 17.69% 15.38% 14.93% 19.52% 18.58% 15.42% 14.59% 15.67% 17.39% 18.5%
Operating Income 1,393 1,616 1,626 1,251 1,331 2,684 2,246 1,202 797.3 900.8 845.7 824.3
Operating Margin 8.35% 7.92% 7.86% 6.76% 7.12% 12.12% 11.03% 7.43% 5.84% 7.29% 8.72% 9.72%
Net Income 1,157 1,290 1,303 1,010 1,020 2,050 2,283 935.9 557 841.5 767.2 669.1
Net Margin 6.95% 6.32% 6.3% 5.46% 5.45% 9.25% 11.21% 5.79% 4.08% 6.81% 7.92% 7.89%
Cash from Operating Activities 2,786 4,312 4,558 2,581 3,406 3,432 2,842 2,472 2,188 1,690 1,591 1,576
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 16.79% 21.13% 22.04% 13.94% 18.21% 15.49% 13.96% 15.28% 16.02% 13.67% 16.41% 18.57%
Capital Expenditure -2,384 -4,787 -5,195 -2,490 -1,742 -2,421 -2,567 -2,110 -1,887 -1,379 -824.3 -824.5
Free Cash Flow 401.8 -474.9 -637.6 90.3 1,664 1,011 275 362.1 300.9 311.2 766.2 751.2
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Discounting Cash Flows

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