KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit Multiple - Discounting Cash Flows
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc.
BEKE (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow - Exit EBITDA Multiple

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Exit Ebitda Multiple

Exit EBITDA Multiple

The exit EV/EBITDA multiple used to calculate the terminal value.

Ebitda Margin

EBITDA Margin

EBITDA expressed as a percentage of Revenue.

Capital Expenditure To Ebitda

Capital Expenditure to EBITDA

Capital expenditure expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.

Operating Cash Flow To Ebitda

Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA

Operating cash flow expressed as a percentage of EBITDA.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Results

Exit EBITDA Multiple (EV/EBITDA) 26.02
Terminal EBITDA 860.6 Mil. USD
Terminal Enterprise Value 22.39 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Enterprise Value 21 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 293.4 Mil. USD
Present Enterprise Value 21.29 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 6.88 Bil. USD
Total Debt 2.96 Bil. USD
Present Equity Value 25.21 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 1.1 Bil.
Estimated Value per Share 22.82 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Cost of Equity 1.48%
Equity Weight 86.66%
Cost of Debt 0.138%
Debt Weight 13.34%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 21.6%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR -40.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2024
Dec 31
LTM
Jan 18
2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
Revenue 12,800 14,857 15,565 18,927 23,015 27,986 34,031
Revenue Growth Rate 16.84% 16.07% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6% 21.6%
EBITDA 654.3 611.7 393.6 478.7 582 707.8 860.6
EBITDA Margin 5.11% 4.12% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53% 2.53%
Operating Cash Flow 1,294 418.3 393.6 478.7 582 707.8 860.6
Operating Cash Flow to EBITDA 197.7% 68.38% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Capital Expenditure 142.1 218.1 354.3 430.8 523.8 637 774.6
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA 21.71% 35.65% 90% 90% 90% 90% 90%
Free Cash Flow 1,152 349.1 39.36 47.87 58.2 70.78 86.06
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA 176% 57.06% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10%
Compounded Discount Rate
0% 1.23% 2.54% 3.87% 5.21%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,152 349.1 39.36 47.28 56.76 68.14 81.8

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 18
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
Revenue 9,511 14,857 12,800 10,955 8,792 12,709 10,798 6,608 4,165 3,918
Revenue Growth Rate 21.6% 16.07% 16.84% 24.61% -30.82% 17.7% 63.41% 58.64% 6.32%
Cost of Revenue 7,304 11,609 9,658 7,896 6,795 10,219 8,215 4,990 3,166 3,185
Gross Profit 2,208 3,247 3,142 3,059 1,997 2,490 2,583 1,618 998.9 732.4
Gross Margin 23.08% 21.86% 24.55% 27.92% 22.71% 19.59% 23.92% 24.49% 23.98% 18.69%
EBITDA 311.3 611.7 654.3 873.2 97.06 2.5 615.2 2.66 -61.9 7.27
EBITDA Margin 2.53% 4.12% 5.11% 7.97% 1.1% 0.02% 5.7% 0.04% -1.49% 0.185%
Net Income 173 498.9 556.7 828.7 -200.9 -82.59 425.5 -313.1 -68.02 -88.23
Net Income to EBITDA -1,781% 81.55% 85.09% 94.9% -206.9% -3,301% 69.17% -11,750% 109.9% -1,214%
Cash from Operating Activities 666.9 418.3 1,294 1,572 1,226 565.8 1,434 16.17 467.7 -991.7
Cash from Operating Activities to EBITDA 1,196% 68.38% 197.7% 180% 1,263% 22,620% 233.1% 607% -755.6% -13,650%
Capital Expenditure 136.4 218.1 142.1 123.1 114.9 225 135.9 101 78.93 88.35
Capital Expenditure to EBITDA 1,565% 35.65% 21.71% 14.1% 118.4% 8,995% 22.09% 3,789% -127.5% 1,216%
Free Cash Flow 547.1 349.1 1,152 1,448 1,111 340.8 1,298 -84.78 388.8 -1,080
Free Cash Flow to EBITDA -366.1% 57.06% 176% 165.9% 1,145% 13,620% 211% -3,182% -628.1% -14,860%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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