KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
BEKE
KE Holdings Inc.
BEKE (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 38.75 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 17.55 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 7.04 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 24.6 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 1.29 Bil. USD
Total Debt 2.96 Bil. USD
Equity Value 28.51 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 1.1 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 25.81 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 5.01%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -1.52%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 15,565 18,626 21,931 25,399 28,926 32,384 35,631 38,516 40,892 42,626
Revenue Growth Rate 21.6% 19.67% 17.74% 15.81% 13.88% 11.96% 10.03% 8.1% 6.17% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 780.1 933.6 1,099 1,273 1,450 1,623 1,786 1,930 2,050 2,136
Operating Cash Flow Margin 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01% 5.01%
Capital Expenditure -237.2 -283.9 -334.2 -387.1 -440.8 -493.5 -543 -587 -623.2 -649.6
Capital Expenditure Margin -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52% -1.52%
Free Cash Flow 542.9 649.7 765 885.9 1,009 1,130 1,243 1,343 1,426 1,487
Free Cash Flow Margin 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49% 3.49%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.82% 16.7% 26.35% 36.76% 48.03% 60.22% 73.46% 87.76% 103.2%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 542.9 602.6 655.5 701.2 737.8 763.1 775.7 774.5 759.7 731.6

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 18
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
Revenue 9,511 14,857 12,800 10,955 8,792 12,709 10,798 6,608 4,165 3,918
Revenue Growth Rate 21.81% 16.07% 16.84% 24.61% -30.82% 17.7% 63.41% 58.64% 6.32% 23.53%
Cost of Revenue 7,304 11,609 9,658 7,896 6,795 10,219 8,215 4,990 3,166 3,185
Gross Profit 2,208 3,247 3,142 3,059 1,997 2,490 2,583 1,618 998.9 732.4
Gross Margin 23.08% 21.86% 24.55% 27.92% 22.71% 19.59% 23.92% 24.49% 23.98% 18.69%
Operating Income 146.8 469.2 515.6 675.7 -120.7 -213.2 435.4 -146.6 -177.1 -117.3
Operating Margin 0.541% 3.16% 4.03% 6.17% -1.37% -1.68% 4.03% -2.22% -4.25% -3%
Net Income 173 498.9 556.7 828.7 -200.9 -82.59 425.5 -313.1 -68.02 -88.23
Net Margin 0.85% 3.36% 4.35% 7.56% -2.28% -0.65% 3.94% -4.74% -1.63% -2.25%
Cash from Operating Activities 666.9 418.3 1,294 1,572 1,226 565.8 1,434 16.17 467.7 -991.7
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 5.01% 2.82% 10.11% 14.35% 13.95% 4.45% 13.28% 0.245% 11.23% -25.31%
Capital Expenditure -136.4 -218.1 -142.1 -123.1 -114.9 -225 -135.9 -101 -78.93 -88.35
Free Cash Flow 547.1 349.1 1,152 1,448 1,111 340.8 1,298 -84.78 388.8 -1,080
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Discounting Cash Flows

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