Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
BMO.TO
Bank of Montreal
BMO.TO (TSX)

Estimated Value

CAD

Market Price CAD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 2,243 Bil. CAD
Discounted Terminal Value 1,521 Bil. CAD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 347.5 Bil. CAD
Enterprise Value 1,868 Bil. CAD
Cash and Equivalents 70.32 Bil. CAD
Total Debt 415.2 Bil. CAD
Equity Value 1,557 Bil. CAD
Shares Outstanding 713.3 Mil. CAD
Estimated Value per Share 2.18 Thou. CAD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 67.48%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 3.72%
Cost of Equity 9.41%
Equity Weight 24.47%
Cost of Debt 10.13%
Debt Weight 75.53%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 19.64%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR 70.36%

Monetary values in CAD

Edit Chart Values 2026-10-31 2027-10-31 2028-10-31 2029-10-31 2030-10-31

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

2025
Oct 31
2026
Oct 31
2027
Oct 31
2028
Oct 31
2029
Oct 31
2030
Oct 31
Revenue 78,149 93,497 111,860 133,830 160,114 191,560
Revenue Growth Rate -0.521% 19.64% 19.64% 19.64% 19.64% 19.64%
Operating Cash Flow 10,240 63,092 75,483 90,308 108,045 129,265
Operating Cash Flow Margin 13.1% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48%
Capital Expenditure 1,729 3,477 4,160 4,977 5,955 7,124
Capital Expenditure Margin 2.21% 3.72% 3.72% 3.72% 3.72% 3.72%
Free Cash Flow 8,511 59,615 71,323 85,331 102,090 122,141
Free Cash Flow Margin 10.89% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76%
Compounded Discount Rate
6.17% 14.75% 24.05% 34.07% 44.91%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 8,511 56,153 62,157 68,790 76,146 84,289

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 23
2025
Oct 31
2024
Oct 31
2023
Oct 31
2022
Oct 31
2021
Oct 31
2020
Oct 31
2019
Oct 31
2018
Oct 31
2017
Oct 31
2016
Oct 31
Revenue 39,118 78,149 78,149 78,558 29,021 26,259 26,909 22,233 25,332 22,870 21,874 20,947
Revenue Growth Rate 19.64% 0% -0.521% 170.7% 10.52% -2.42% 21.03% -12.23% 10.77% 4.55% 4.42% 9.2%
Cost of Revenue 12,874 45,667 45,667 50,278 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gross Profit 26,526 32,482 32,482 28,280 29,642 25,946 26,909 25,025 25,332 22,870 21,874 20,947
Gross Margin 84.78% 41.56% 41.56% 36% 102.1% 98.81% 100% 112.6% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Operating Income 11,618 11,366 11,550 9,065 10,298 19,368 14,073 9,899 12,324 10,694 10,046 9,120
Operating Margin 39.25% 14.54% 14.78% 11.54% 35.48% 73.76% 52.3% 44.52% 48.65% 46.76% 45.93% 43.54%
Net Income 6,975 8,709 8,709 7,318 4,425 13,537 7,754 5,097 5,758 5,450 5,348 4,622
Net Margin 22.11% 11.14% 11.14% 9.31% 15.25% 51.55% 28.82% 22.93% 22.73% 23.83% 24.45% 22.07%
Cash from Operating Activities 19,827 10,240 10,240 29,030 21,269 4,957 44,049 50,836 29,303 17,912 2,908 -2,648
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 67.49% 13.1% 13.1% 36.95% 73.29% 18.88% 163.7% 228.7% 115.7% 78.32% 13.29% -12.64%
Capital Expenditure 1,235 1,729 1,729 1,564 1,677 1,448 983 1,032 1,128 886 791 620
Capital Expenditure Margin 3.72% 2.21% 2.21% 1.99% 5.78% 5.51% 3.65% 4.64% 4.45% 3.87% 3.62% 2.96%
Free Cash Flow 18,592 8,511 8,511 27,466 19,592 3,509 43,066 49,804 28,175 17,026 2,117 -3,268
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Discounting Cash Flows

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