Bank of Montreal (BMO.TO) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
BMO.TO
Bank of Montreal
BMO.TO (TSX)

Estimated Value

CAD

Market Price CAD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

Check out Nathan's YouTube Channel

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 3,973 Bil. CAD
Discounted Terminal Value 1,800 Bil. CAD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 691.6 Bil. CAD
Enterprise Value 2,491 Bil. CAD
Cash and Equivalents 70.32 Bil. CAD
Total Debt 415.2 Bil. CAD
Equity Value 2,180 Bil. CAD
Shares Outstanding 713.3 Mil. CAD
Estimated Value per Share 3.06 Thou. CAD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 67.48%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.72%

Monetary values in CAD

Edit Chart Values 2026-10-31 2027-10-31 2028-10-31 2029-10-31 2030-10-31 2031-10-31 2032-10-31 2033-10-31 2034-10-31 2035-10-31

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

2026
Oct 31
2027
Oct 31
2028
Oct 31
2029
Oct 31
2030
Oct 31
2031
Oct 31
2032
Oct 31
2033
Oct 31
2034
Oct 31
2035
Oct 31
Revenue 93,497 110,261 128,142 146,732 165,507 183,852 201,085 216,493 229,376 239,102
Revenue Growth Rate 19.64% 17.93% 16.22% 14.51% 12.8% 11.08% 9.37% 7.66% 5.95% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 63,092 74,404 86,470 99,014 111,684 124,063 135,692 146,089 154,783 161,346
Operating Cash Flow Margin 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48% 67.48%
Capital Expenditure -3,477 -4,101 -4,766 -5,457 -6,155 -6,837 -7,478 -8,051 -8,531 -8,892
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72% -3.72%
Free Cash Flow 59,615 70,303 81,705 93,557 105,529 117,226 128,214 138,038 146,253 152,454
Free Cash Flow Margin 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76% 63.76%
Compounded Discount Rate 6.29% 15.04% 24.55% 34.81% 45.92% 57.95% 71% 85.09% 100.3% 116.8%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 56,089 61,110 65,600 69,398 72,319 74,219 74,980 74,580 73,003 70,305

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 23
2025
Oct 31
2024
Oct 31
2023
Oct 31
2022
Oct 31
2021
Oct 31
2020
Oct 31
2019
Oct 31
2018
Oct 31
2017
Oct 31
2016
Oct 31
Revenue 39,118 78,149 78,149 78,558 29,021 26,259 26,909 22,233 25,332 22,870 21,874 20,947
Revenue Growth Rate 19.64% 0% -0.521% 170.7% 10.52% -2.42% 21.03% -12.23% 10.77% 4.55% 4.42% 9.2%
Cost of Revenue 12,874 45,667 45,667 50,278 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gross Profit 26,526 32,482 32,482 28,280 29,642 25,946 26,909 25,025 25,332 22,870 21,874 20,947
Gross Margin 84.78% 41.56% 41.56% 36% 102.1% 98.81% 100% 112.6% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Operating Income 11,618 11,366 11,550 9,065 10,298 19,368 14,073 9,899 12,324 10,694 10,046 9,120
Operating Margin 39.25% 14.54% 14.78% 11.54% 35.48% 73.76% 52.3% 44.52% 48.65% 46.76% 45.93% 43.54%
Net Income 6,975 8,709 8,709 7,318 4,425 13,537 7,754 5,097 5,758 5,450 5,348 4,622
Net Margin 22.11% 11.14% 11.14% 9.31% 15.25% 51.55% 28.82% 22.93% 22.73% 23.83% 24.45% 22.07%
Cash from Operating Activities 19,827 10,240 10,240 29,030 21,269 4,957 44,049 50,836 29,303 17,912 2,908 -2,648
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 67.49% 13.1% 13.1% 36.95% 73.29% 18.88% 163.7% 228.7% 115.7% 78.32% 13.29% -12.64%
Capital Expenditure -1,235 -1,729 -1,729 -1,564 -1,677 -1,448 -983 -1,032 -1,128 -886 -791 -620
Free Cash Flow 18,592 8,511 8,511 27,466 19,592 3,509 43,066 49,804 28,175 17,026 2,117 -3,268
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program