BioNTech SE (BNTX) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
BNTX
BioNTech SE
BNTX (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value -2,287,191 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value -1,041,916 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow -145,066 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value -1,186,982 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 11.84 Bil. USD
Total Debt 287.9 Mil. USD
Equity Value -1,186,965 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 239.2 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share -4.96 Mil. USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.18%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin -10.65%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -30.57%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 16,873 90,788 439,258 1,887,025 7,083,095 22,745,392 60,704,418 129,088,619 204,496,454 213,044,405
Revenue Growth Rate 492.3% 438.1% 383.8% 329.6% 275.4% 221.1% 166.9% 112.7% 58.42% 4.18%
Operating Cash Flow -1,797 -9,669 -46,781 -200,968 -754,350 -2,422,384 -6,465,021 -13,747,938 -21,778,872 -22,689,229
Operating Cash Flow Margin -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65% -10.65%
Capital Expenditure -5,158 -27,754 -134,281 -576,864 -2,165,302 -6,953,266 -18,557,341 -39,462,391 -62,514,566 -65,127,675
Capital Expenditure Margin -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57% -30.57%
Free Cash Flow -6,955 -37,423 -181,062 -777,832 -2,919,652 -9,375,651 -25,022,361 -53,210,329 -84,293,438 -87,816,904
Free Cash Flow Margin -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22% -41.22%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.18% 15.95% 25.46% 35.72% 46.83% 58.84% 71.87% 85.93% 101.1%
Discounted Free Cash Flow -6,955 -34,915 -156,155 -619,975 -2,151,158 -6,385,513 -15,753,450 -30,960,131 -45,337,090 -43,660,732

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 12
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 5,762 3,743 2,849 4,215 18,521 21,602 589.2 121.9 146 73.95
Revenue Growth Rate 503.2% 31.4% -32.42% -77.24% -14.26% 3,567% 383.4% -16.53% 97.45% 546.5% 546.5%
Cost of Revenue 946.2 655.4 560.5 662 3,204 3,314 72.44 19.53 15.67 11.19
Gross Profit 4,816 3,088 2,288 3,553 15,317 18,288 516.7 102.3 130.3 62.76
Gross Margin 84.48% 82.49% 80.32% 84.29% 82.7% 84.66% 87.7% 83.98% 89.27% 84.87%
Operating Income 3,198 -1,108 -1,361 762 13,527 17,398 -100.7 -203.7 -61.63 -73.56
Operating Margin -25.73% -29.61% -47.77% 18.08% 73.03% 80.54% -17.08% -167.1% -42.21% -99.48%
Net Income 2,348 -678.7 -688.9 1,027 10,094 11,716 18.57 -201 -54.96 -102.8
Net Margin -27.52% -18.13% -24.18% 24.36% 54.5% 54.24% 3.15% -164.9% -37.64% -139.1%
Cash from Operating Activities 2,324 -399.1 215.1 5,929 14,527 1,013 -16.49 -222.8 -66.59 -63.1
Cash from Operating Activities Margin -10.66% -10.66% 7.55% 140.6% 78.43% 4.69% -2.8% -182.8% -45.6% -85.33%
Capital Expenditure -267.9 -269 -468.4 -778.7 -388.7 -175.3 -104.3 -79.79 -77.66 -69.32
Free Cash Flow 2,056 -668.2 -253.3 5,150 14,138 837.5 -120.8 -302.6 -144.2 -132.4
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Discounting Cash Flows

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