Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (CHD) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
CHD
Church & Dwight Co., Inc.
CHD (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 43.59 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 19.71 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 8.89 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 28.61 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 409 Mil. USD
Total Debt 2.21 Bil. USD
Equity Value 26.81 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 238.7 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 112.3 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.26%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 18.78%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.19%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31 2035-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
2035
Dec 31
Revenue 6,556 6,919 7,291 7,672 8,060 8,455 8,855 9,261 9,670 10,082
Revenue Growth Rate 5.7% 5.54% 5.38% 5.22% 5.06% 4.9% 4.74% 4.58% 4.42% 4.26%
Operating Cash Flow 1,231 1,299 1,369 1,441 1,514 1,588 1,663 1,739 1,816 1,893
Operating Cash Flow Margin 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78% 18.78%
Capital Expenditure -143.7 -151.6 -159.8 -168.1 -176.6 -185.2 -194 -202.9 -211.9 -220.9
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19% -2.19%
Free Cash Flow 1,088 1,148 1,210 1,273 1,337 1,403 1,469 1,536 1,604 1,672
Free Cash Flow Margin 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59% 16.59%
Compounded Discount Rate 7.49% 16.36% 26% 36.41% 47.68% 59.88% 73.12% 87.42% 102.9% 119.7%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,012 986.4 960 933 905.4 877.2 848.5 819.7 790.6 761.4

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 02
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 5,056 6,203 6,203 6,107 5,868 5,376 5,190 4,896 4,358 4,146 3,776 3,493
Revenue Growth Rate 5.7% 0% 1.57% 4.08% 9.16% 3.57% 6.01% 12.35% 5.11% 9.79% 8.11% 2.9%
Cost of Revenue 2,801 3,428 3,428 3,317 3,279 3,126 2,927 2,682 2,374 2,305 2,047 1,902
Gross Profit 2,255 2,775 2,775 2,790 2,588 2,250 2,264 2,214 1,984 1,841 1,730 1,591
Gross Margin 44.66% 44.73% 44.73% 45.69% 44.11% 41.86% 43.61% 45.23% 45.53% 44.4% 45.8% 45.54%
Operating Income 892.3 1,078 1,078 807.1 1,057 597.8 1,079 1,030 840.2 791.7 732.7 724.2
Operating Margin 17.95% 17.37% 17.37% 13.22% 18.02% 11.12% 20.79% 21.03% 19.28% 19.1% 19.4% 20.73%
Net Income 657.2 736.8 736.8 585.3 755.6 413.9 827.5 785.9 615.9 568.6 743.4 459
Net Margin 13.33% 11.88% 11.88% 9.58% 12.88% 7.7% 15.94% 16.05% 14.13% 13.71% 19.69% 13.14%
Cash from Operating Activities 950.2 1,215 1,215 1,156 1,031 885.2 993.8 990.3 864.5 763.6 681.5 655.3
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 18.78% 19.59% 19.59% 18.93% 17.56% 16.47% 19.15% 20.23% 19.84% 18.42% 18.05% 18.76%
Capital Expenditure -115.8 -122.4 -122.4 -179.8 -223.5 -178.8 -118.8 -98.9 -73.7 -60.4 -45 -49.8
Free Cash Flow 834.4 1,093 1,093 976.4 807.1 706.4 875 891.4 790.8 703.2 636.5 605.5
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Discounting Cash Flows

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