Chesapeake Energy Corporation (CHK) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
CHK
Chesapeake Energy Corporation
CHK (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 21.67 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 9.82 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 4.52 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 14.33 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 613 Mil. USD
Total Debt 0 USD
Equity Value 14.94 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 238.2 Thou. USD
Estimated Value per Share 62.73 Thou. USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.3%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -12.38%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 4,655 5,087 5,528 5,972 6,413 6,847 7,267 7,667 8,040 8,381
Revenue Growth Rate 9.92% 9.29% 8.66% 8.03% 7.4% 6.76% 6.13% 5.5% 4.87% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 1,038 1,134 1,233 1,332 1,430 1,527 1,620 1,710 1,793 1,869
Operating Cash Flow Margin 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3% 22.3%
Capital Expenditure -576.3 -629.8 -684.3 -739.3 -793.9 -847.6 -899.6 -949.1 -995.4 -1,038
Capital Expenditure Margin -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38% -12.38%
Free Cash Flow 461.8 504.7 548.4 592.4 636.2 679.2 720.9 760.5 797.6 831.4
Free Cash Flow Margin 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92% 9.92%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.77% 16.65% 26.29% 36.7% 47.96% 60.15% 73.39% 87.68% 103.1%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 461.8 468.3 470.1 469.1 465.4 459 450.1 438.6 425 409.3

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 20
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 8,730 10,854 4,235 6,047 14,123 7,301 4,614 8,489 10,231 9,496 7,872 12,764
Revenue Growth Rate 9.92% 156.3% -29.97% -57.18% 93.44% 58.24% -45.65% -17.03% 7.74% 20.63% -38.33% -39.08%
Cost of Revenue 6,108 888 1,035 2,736 7,744 4,881 4,590 8,093 8,364 7,715 8,523 12,623
Gross Profit 2,498 9,966 3,200 609 8,156 2,420 -403 396 1,867 1,781 -651 141
Gross Margin 26.74% 91.82% 75.56% 10.07% 57.75% 33.15% -8.73% 4.67% 18.25% 18.76% -8.27% 1.1%
Operating Income -1,136 1,308 -803 464 6,165 2,325 -670 -16 882 1,139 -4,366 -18,919
Operating Margin -11.05% 12.05% -18.96% 7.67% 43.65% 31.84% -14.52% -0.188% 8.62% 11.99% -55.46% -148.2%
Net Income -1,222 867 -714 2,419 4,936 6,328 -9,750 -308 873 949 -4,356 -14,685
Net Margin -19.46% 7.99% -16.86% 40% 34.95% 86.67% -211.3% -3.63% 8.53% 9.99% -55.34% -115.1%
Cash from Operating Activities 1,852 3,953 1,565 2,380 4,125 1,788 1,164 1,623 2,000 745 -204 1,234
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.3% 36.42% 36.95% 39.36% 29.21% 24.49% 25.23% 19.12% 19.55% 7.85% -2.59% 9.67%
Capital Expenditure -965.8 -2,450 -1,557 -1,829 -1,823 -735 -31 -83 -309 -306 -825 -676
Free Cash Flow 886.3 1,503 8 551 2,302 1,053 1,133 1,540 1,691 439 -1,029 558
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Discounting Cash Flows

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