Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. (DISCA) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
DISCA
Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc.
DISCA (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

Check out Nathan's YouTube Channel

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 703.6 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 317.6 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 124.1 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 441.7 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 3.99 Bil. USD
Total Debt 33.75 Bil. USD
Equity Value 412.3 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 2.48 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 166.3 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.28%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 20.64%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.47%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 48,959 59,858 71,838 84,601 97,730 110,700 122,903 133,689 142,416 148,511
Revenue Growth Rate 24.51% 22.26% 20.01% 17.77% 15.52% 13.27% 11.02% 8.78% 6.53% 4.28%
Operating Cash Flow 10,105 12,355 14,827 17,462 20,172 22,849 25,367 27,593 29,395 30,653
Operating Cash Flow Margin 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64% 20.64%
Capital Expenditure -1,208 -1,477 -1,773 -2,088 -2,412 -2,732 -3,033 -3,299 -3,515 -3,665
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47% -2.47%
Free Cash Flow 8,897 10,877 13,054 15,374 17,760 20,116 22,334 24,294 25,880 26,987
Free Cash Flow Margin 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17% 18.17%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.46% 16.35% 26.02% 36.45% 47.75% 59.98% 73.27% 87.61% 103.1%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 8,897 10,123 11,220 12,200 13,015 13,615 13,960 14,021 13,794 13,285

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 04
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 19,695 37,863 39,321 41,321 33,817 12,191 10,671 11,144 10,553 6,873 6,497 6,394
Revenue Growth Rate 24.51% -3.71% -4.84% 22.19% 177.4% 14.24% -4.24% 5.6% 53.54% 5.79% 1.61% 2.06%
Cost of Revenue 10,254 21,189 22,970 24,526 20,442 4,620 3,860 3,819 3,935 2,656 2,432 2,343
Gross Profit 9,441 16,674 16,351 16,795 13,375 7,571 6,811 7,325 6,618 4,217 4,065 4,051
Gross Margin 55.23% 44.04% 41.58% 40.65% 39.55% 62.1% 63.83% 65.73% 62.71% 61.36% 62.57% 63.36%
Operating Income -379.4 551 -10,032 -1,548 -7,370 2,012 2,515 3,009 1,934 713 2,058 1,985
Operating Margin 9.9% 1.46% -25.51% -3.75% -21.79% 16.5% 23.57% 27% 18.33% 10.37% 31.68% 31.04%
Net Income -1,322 485 -11,311 -3,126 -7,371 1,006 1,219 2,069 594 -337 1,194 1,034
Net Margin 1.52% 1.28% -28.77% -7.56% -21.8% 8.25% 11.42% 18.57% 5.63% -4.9% 18.38% 16.17%
Cash from Operating Activities 3,473 5,230 5,375 7,477 4,304 2,798 2,739 3,399 2,576 1,629 1,380 1,294
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 20.64% 13.81% 13.67% 18.09% 12.73% 22.95% 25.67% 30.5% 24.41% 23.7% 21.24% 20.24%
Capital Expenditure -534.9 -1,096 -948 -1,316 -987 -373 -402 -289 -147 -135 -88 -103
Free Cash Flow 2,938 4,134 4,427 6,161 3,317 2,425 2,337 3,110 2,429 1,494 1,292 1,191
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program