National Beverage Corp. (FIZZ) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
FIZZ
National Beverage Corp.
FIZZ (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 6.37 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 2.94 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 1.4 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 4.33 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 269.3 Mil. USD
Total Debt 66.19 Mil. USD
Equity Value 4.54 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 93.62 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 48.47 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.06%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 15.06%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.55%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-04-30 2027-04-30 2028-04-30 2029-04-30 2030-04-30 2031-04-30 2032-04-30 2033-04-30 2034-04-30 2035-04-30

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Apr 30
2027
Apr 30
2028
Apr 30
2029
Apr 30
2030
Apr 30
2031
Apr 30
2032
Apr 30
2033
Apr 30
2034
Apr 30
2035
Apr 30
Revenue 1,273 1,346 1,421 1,497 1,574 1,651 1,728 1,806 1,883 1,959
Revenue Growth Rate 5.97% 5.76% 5.55% 5.33% 5.12% 4.91% 4.7% 4.49% 4.27% 4.06%
Operating Cash Flow 191.7 202.8 214 225.4 237 248.6 260.3 272 283.6 295.1
Operating Cash Flow Margin 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06% 15.06%
Capital Expenditure -32.51 -34.39 -36.29 -38.23 -40.19 -42.16 -44.14 -46.12 -48.09 -50.04
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55% -2.55%
Free Cash Flow 159.2 168.4 177.7 187.2 196.8 206.4 216.1 225.8 235.5 245
Free Cash Flow Margin 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51% 12.51%
Compounded Discount Rate 1.22% 9.38% 18.22% 27.75% 38.04% 49.17% 61.22% 74.22% 88.26% 103.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 157.3 153.9 150.3 146.5 142.6 138.4 134.1 129.6 125.1 120.5

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Mar 04
2025
Apr 30
2024
Apr 30
2023
Apr 30
2022
Apr 30
2021
Apr 30
2020
Apr 30
2019
Apr 30
2018
Apr 30
2017
Apr 30
2016
Apr 30
Revenue 1,045 1,200 1,201 1,192 1,173 1,138 1,072 1,000 1,014 975.7 826.9 704.8
Revenue Growth Rate 5.97% -0.152% 0.811% 1.6% 3.07% 6.14% 7.18% -1.35% 3.93% 18% 17.33% 9.13%
Cost of Revenue 657.2 752.7 757.4 763.2 776.1 720.2 650.6 630.3 629.8 584.6 500.8 463.3
Gross Profit 388 446.8 443.9 428.5 396.8 417.8 421.6 370.1 384.4 391.1 326.1 241.4
Gross Margin 37.15% 37.25% 36.95% 35.95% 33.83% 36.71% 39.32% 37% 37.9% 40.09% 39.43% 34.26%
Operating Income 192.6 236.9 235.5 218.5 186.7 207.9 227.8 165.7 179.9 204.2 162.5 93.05
Operating Margin 18.29% 19.75% 19.6% 18.34% 15.92% 18.26% 21.25% 16.57% 17.74% 20.93% 19.65% 13.2%
Net Income 146.7 186.5 186.8 176.7 142.2 158.5 174.1 130 140.9 149.8 107 61.2
Net Margin 13.83% 15.55% 15.55% 14.83% 12.12% 13.93% 16.24% 12.99% 13.89% 15.35% 12.95% 8.68%
Cash from Operating Activities 159 191.4 206.7 197.9 161.7 133.1 193.8 177.7 139.4 154.7 113.8 78.95
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 15.06% 15.96% 17.21% 16.61% 13.78% 11.7% 18.07% 17.76% 13.75% 15.86% 13.76% 11.2%
Capital Expenditure -27.07 -34.57 -36.28 -30.3 -21.98 -29.02 -25.31 -23.89 -38.33 -31.97 -14.02 -12.14
Free Cash Flow 131.9 156.8 170.4 167.6 139.7 104.1 168.5 153.8 101.1 122.7 99.76 66.81
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Discounting Cash Flows

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