Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
FUTU
Futu Holdings Limited
FUTU (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 9,340 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 4,291 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,040 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 5,331 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 1.38 Bil. USD
Total Debt 1.75 Bil. USD
Equity Value 5,331 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 139.3 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 38.26 Thou. USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.09%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 385.1%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.6%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 3,499 6,629 11,850 19,919 31,359 46,023 62,634 78,559 90,152 93,839
Revenue Growth Rate 100.1% 89.43% 78.76% 68.1% 57.43% 46.76% 36.09% 25.43% 14.76% 4.09%
Operating Cash Flow 13,476 25,528 45,634 76,710 120,763 177,233 241,202 302,529 347,176 361,375
Operating Cash Flow Margin 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1% 385.1%
Capital Expenditure -91.05 -172.5 -308.3 -518.3 -816 -1,198 -1,630 -2,044 -2,346 -2,442
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6% -2.6%
Free Cash Flow 13,385 25,355 45,326 76,191 119,947 176,036 239,573 300,485 344,830 358,934
Free Cash Flow Margin 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5% 382.5%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.08% 15.74% 25.13% 35.26% 46.2% 58.03% 70.85% 84.67% 99.61%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 13,385 23,678 39,160 60,888 88,680 120,407 151,602 175,878 186,728 179,818

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 13
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 830.1 2,666 1,749 1,281 974.7 912.4 426.9 136.2 103.6 39.88 11.22
Revenue Growth Rate 101.2% 52.46% 36.48% 31.47% 6.83% 113.7% 213.4% 31.53% 159.7% 255.5% 110.8%
Cost of Revenue 135.4 382.5 314.7 196.7 127.5 154.7 89.74 36.15 31.86 13.96 5.81
Gross Profit 694.8 2,284 1,434 1,085 847.2 757.7 337.2 100.1 71.71 25.92 5.41
Gross Margin 75.72% 85.66% 82.01% 84.65% 86.92% 83.05% 78.98% 73.46% 69.24% 64.99% 48.21%
Operating Income 413.9 1,554 852.1 641.1 456.9 408.1 189.3 24.12 26.65 1.06 -14.27
Operating Margin 21.19% 58.3% 48.72% 50.03% 46.87% 44.73% 44.34% 17.71% 25.73% 2.66% -127.2%
Net Income 343.6 1,256 700.4 548.2 374.7 360.4 170.9 21.26 17.68 -1.04 -12.69
Net Margin 16.48% 47.11% 40.05% 42.78% 38.44% 39.5% 40.04% 15.61% 17.07% -2.6% -113.2%
Cash from Operating Activities 827.2 0 3,989 -811.4 444.8 770.9 2,638 252.7 570.6 237.4 180.2
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 385.1% 0% 228.1% -63.32% 45.64% 84.49% 617.9% 185.5% 551% 595.3% 1,606%
Capital Expenditure -7.69 0 -21.56 -9.96 -11.59 -9.03 -5.76 -15.19 -2.4 -0.949 -0.521
Free Cash Flow 819.5 0 3,967 -821.3 433.2 761.9 2,632 237.5 568.2 236.5 179.7
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Discounting Cash Flows

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