The Gabelli Equity Trust Inc. (GAB-PH) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
The Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.
GAB-PH (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 21.05 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 6 USD
Book value of equity invested 6.05 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -0.008 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.63 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 7.67 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.633 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -0.044 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -0.065 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 8.25%
Terminal year's excess return -0.002 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 8.21%
Average historical Payout Ratio 14%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 45.47%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 7.12 5.87 5.87 6.25 6.63 6.99 7.34
Ending Book Value 5.87 6.05 6.25 6.63 6.99 7.34 7.67
EPS 0 0.61 0.482 0.514 0.545 0.575 0.603
Return on Equity 10.49% 10.82% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21% 8.21%
Dividend per Share 1.25 1.25 0.098 0.137 0.179 0.225 0.274
Payout Ratio 20.3% 204.9% 20.3% 26.59% 32.88% 39.17% 45.47%
Retained Earnings -1.25 -0.64 0.384 0.377 0.366 0.35 0.329
Equity Cost 0.587 0.484 0.484 0.516 0.547 0.577 0.606
Cost of Equity 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25% 8.25%
Excess Return -0.587 0.126 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002
Discounted Excess Return
-0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002 -0.002

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 143.9 201.3 201.3 231.4 -199.1 361 170.9 336.6 -127.9 323.3 181.5 -97.02
Total Stockholders Equity 1,893 1,860 1,860 1,918 1,863 2,314 1,978 1,966 1,744 2,045 1,693 1,583
Return on Equity 8.21% 10.82% 10.49% 12.43% -8.6% 18.25% 8.7% 19.31% -6.25% 19.09% 11.47% -5.33%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 305.2 384.1 0 336.9 370.5 364.7 367.6 326.7 369.1 130.5 127.6 274.1
Payout Ratio 14.57% 204.9% 20.3% 160.3% -186.6% 106.8% 215.5% 103.3% -290.7% 40.32% 70.22% -284.1%
Shares Outstanding 264.8 307.2 0 269.5 296.4 291.8 294.1 261.4 295.3 208.9 204.2 219.2
Earnings per Share 0.525 0.61 0 0.78 -0.67 1.17 0.58 1.21 -0.43 1.55 0.89 -0.44
Dividend per Share 1.14 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 1.25 0.625 0.625 1.25
Dividend Growth Rate 25% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 100% 0% -50% 0%
Book Value 7.15 6.05 5.87 7.12 6.28 7.93 6.73 7.52 5.9 9.79 8.29 7.22
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Discounting Cash Flows

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