Genesco Inc. (GCO) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Genesco Inc.
GCO (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 21.84 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -10.16 USD
Book value of equity invested 50.95 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -21.42 USD
Terminal stage EPS 1.28 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 60.29 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 8.29 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -39.69 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -75.59 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 13.75%
Terminal year's excess return -7.01 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 2.13%
Average historical Payout Ratio -9.24%
Payout Ratio in stable stage -110.6%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

amounts of USD except for #

2025 LTM 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Beginning Book Value 50.81 50.48 50.48 51.87 53.52 55.46 57.7
Ending Book Value 50.48 50.95 51.87 53.52 55.46 57.7 60.29
EPS -1.74 -1.84 1.07 1.1 1.14 1.18 1.23
Return on Equity -3.31% -3.45% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13% 2.13%
Dividend per Share
0.17 -0.317 -0.549 -0.798 -1.07 -1.36
Payout Ratio -29.52% -9.24% -29.52% -49.79% -70.07% -90.35% -110.6%
Retained Earnings
-2.01 1.39 1.65 1.94 2.25 2.59
Equity Cost 6.99 6.94 6.94 7.13 7.36 7.63 7.93
Cost of Equity 13.75% 13.75% 13.75% 13.75% 13.75% 13.75% 13.75%
Excess Return -8.73 -8.78 -5.87 -6.03 -6.22 -6.45 -6.71
Discounted Excess Return
-5.16 -4.66 -4.23 -3.85 -3.52

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Net Income 15.23 -18.89 -18.89 -16.83 71.92 114.8 -56.03 61.38 -51.93 -111.8 97.43 96.33
Total Stockholders Equity 682.7 547 547 571.2 607 602.5 566.8 619.3 737.6 830.7 922.5 958.5
Return on Equity 2.13% -3.45% -3.31% -2.77% 11.94% 20.26% -9.05% 8.32% -6.25% -12.12% 10.16% 9.66%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 1.83 1.83
Payout Ratio -27.68% -9.24% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52% -29.52%
Shares Outstanding 15.52 10.74 10.84 11.24 12.46 14.17 14.22 15.54 19.35 19.22 20.08 22.88
Earnings per Share 0.852 -1.84 -1.74 -1.5 5.77 8.11 -3.94 3.95 -2.68 -5.82 4.85 4.21
Dividend per Share 0.17 0.17
Dividend Growth Rate
Book Value 44.76 50.95 50.48 50.81 48.72 42.52 39.87 39.84 38.11 43.23 45.95 41.89
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us