GAMCO Global Gold, Natural Resources & Income Trust (GGN) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
GAMCO Global Gold, Natural Resources & Income Trust
GGN (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 4.295 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 2.38 USD
Book value of equity invested 4.37 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -0.143 USD
Terminal stage EPS 0.263 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 5 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.3 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -1.84 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -2.47 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 6%
Terminal year's excess return -0.037 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 5.25%
Average historical Payout Ratio 96.45%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 14.68%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 4.84 4.37 4.37 4.41 4.5 4.62 4.79
Ending Book Value 4.37 4.37 4.41 4.5 4.62 4.79 5.0
EPS 0.29 0.244 0.229 0.232 0.236 0.243 0.251
Return on Equity 6.05% 6.2% 5.25% 5.25% 5.25% 5.25% 5.25%
Dividend per Share 0.36 0.36 0.184 0.148 0.112 0.075 0.037
Payout Ratio 124.1% 147.7% 80.1% 63.74% 47.39% 31.04% 14.68%
Retained Earnings -0.07 -0.116 0.046 0.084 0.124 0.167 0.215
Equity Cost 0.29 0.262 0.262 0.265 0.27 0.277 0.287
Cost of Equity 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
Excess Return 0.0 -0.018 -0.033 -0.033 -0.034 -0.035 -0.036
Discounted Excess Return
-0.031 -0.029 -0.028 -0.027 -0.027

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 32.69 42.13 42.13 74.78 54.28 42.96 28.04 107.3 -89.54 55.42 129.1 -127
Total Stockholders Equity 713 679.7 679.7 696.1 597.3 689.3 713 759.1 655.5 828.7 853.1 691.5
Return on Equity 5.25% 6.2% 6.05% 12.52% 7.88% 6.02% 3.69% 16.37% -10.8% 6.5% 18.67% -15.34%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 71.18 56.02 56.02 51.82 55.5 55.5 74.94 93.52 81.68 74.66 88.72 94.62
Payout Ratio 96.45% 147.7% 124.1% 73.47% 112.5% 144% 316% 90.91% -90.91% 146.3% 71.19% -74.34%
Shares Outstanding 141.3 155.6 155.6 144 154.2 154.2 156.1 155.9 136.1 124.4 105.6 112.6
Earnings per Share 0.201 0.244 0.29 0.49 0.32 0.25 0.152 0.66 -0.66 0.41 1.18 -1.13
Dividend per Share 0.524 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.48 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.84 0.84
Dividend Growth Rate -23.95% 0% 0% 0% 0% -25% -20% 0% 0% -28.57% 0% -22.22%
Book Value 5.19 4.37 4.37 4.84 3.87 4.47 4.57 4.87 4.82 6.66 8.08 6.14
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Discounting Cash Flows

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