HEICO Corporation (HEI) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
HEI
HEICO Corporation
HEI (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
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Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 49.47 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 22.41 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 9.23 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 31.64 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 217.8 Mil. USD
Total Debt 2.19 Bil. USD
Equity Value 29.66 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 139.2 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 213.1 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.24%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 19.82%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -1.71%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-10-31 2027-10-31 2028-10-31 2029-10-31 2030-10-31 2031-10-31 2032-10-31 2033-10-31 2034-10-31 2035-10-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Oct 31
2027
Oct 31
2028
Oct 31
2029
Oct 31
2030
Oct 31
2031
Oct 31
2032
Oct 31
2033
Oct 31
2034
Oct 31
2035
Oct 31
Revenue 5,093 5,731 6,390 7,057 7,722 8,369 8,984 9,551 10,055 10,482
Revenue Growth Rate 13.56% 12.52% 11.49% 10.45% 9.42% 8.38% 7.35% 6.31% 5.28% 4.24%
Operating Cash Flow 1,009 1,136 1,266 1,399 1,531 1,659 1,781 1,893 1,993 2,077
Operating Cash Flow Margin 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82% 19.82%
Capital Expenditure -87.09 -98 -109.3 -120.7 -132 -143.1 -153.6 -163.3 -171.9 -179.2
Capital Expenditure Margin -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71% -1.71%
Free Cash Flow 922.4 1,038 1,157 1,278 1,398 1,516 1,627 1,730 1,821 1,898
Free Cash Flow Margin 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11% 18.11%
Compounded Discount Rate 6.38% 15.14% 24.66% 34.93% 46.05% 58.08% 71.15% 85.25% 100.5% 117%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 867.1 901.4 928.3 947.2 957.5 958.8 950.7 933.7 908.2 874.6

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 19
2025
Oct 31
2024
Oct 31
2023
Oct 31
2022
Oct 31
2021
Oct 31
2020
Oct 31
2019
Oct 31
2018
Oct 31
2017
Oct 31
2016
Oct 31
Revenue 2,581 4,485 4,485 3,858 2,968 2,208 1,866 1,787 2,056 1,778 1,525 1,376
Revenue Growth Rate 13.56% 0% 16.26% 29.97% 34.41% 18.37% 4.4% -13.07% 15.63% 16.59% 10.79% 15.78%
Cost of Revenue 1,510 2,642 2,699 2,245 1,719 1,270 1,069 1,039 1,175 1,030 903.6 816
Gross Profit 1,071 1,843 1,786 1,613 1,249 938.8 796.3 747.7 880.5 748.2 621.2 560.2
Gross Margin 41.66% 41.09% 39.83% 41.81% 42.09% 42.51% 42.68% 41.84% 42.83% 42.09% 40.74% 40.71%
Operating Income 563.5 1,026 1,019 834.3 647.6 487.9 394.9 377.2 459.8 375 307.8 268.4
Operating Margin 21.51% 22.88% 22.72% 21.63% 21.82% 22.1% 21.17% 21.11% 22.37% 21.09% 20.18% 19.5%
Net Income 381.6 690.4 690.4 514.1 403.6 351.7 304.2 314 327.9 259.2 186 156.2
Net Margin 14.69% 15.39% 15.39% 13.33% 13.6% 15.92% 16.31% 17.57% 15.95% 14.58% 12.2% 11.35%
Cash from Operating Activities 509.1 934.3 934.3 672.4 448.7 467.9 444.1 409.1 437.4 328.5 274.9 249.2
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 19.82% 20.83% 20.83% 17.43% 15.12% 21.19% 23.8% 22.89% 21.28% 18.48% 18.03% 18.11%
Capital Expenditure -42.93 -72.89 -72.89 -58.26 -49.43 -31.98 -36.18 -22.94 -28.94 -41.87 -26 -30.86
Free Cash Flow 466.2 861.4 861.4 614.1 399.3 435.9 407.9 386.2 408.4 286.6 248.9 218.3
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Discounting Cash Flows

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