Industrial Logistics Properties Trust (ILPT) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
ILPT (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 3.35 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -5.49 USD
Book value of equity invested 8.2 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -4.92 USD
Terminal stage EPS -0.247 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 9.52 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 1.31 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -8.76 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -16.74 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 13.81%
Terminal year's excess return -1.56 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -2.59%
Average historical Payout Ratio 50.53%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 273%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 10.24 8.55 8.55 8.54 8.63 8.82 9.11
Ending Book Value 8.55 8.2 8.54 8.63 8.82 9.11 9.52
EPS -1.46 -1.43 -0.222 -0.221 -0.224 -0.228 -0.236
Return on Equity -14.28% -16.69% -2.59% -2.59% -2.59% -2.59% -2.59%
Dividend per Share 0.04 0.04 -0.211 -0.309 -0.411 -0.522 -0.644
Payout Ratio -2.74% -2.8% 95.02% 139.5% 184% 228.5% 273%
Retained Earnings -1.5 -1.47 -0.011 0.087 0.188 0.293 0.408
Equity Cost 1.41 1.18 1.18 1.18 1.19 1.22 1.26
Cost of Equity 13.81% 13.81% 13.81% 13.81% 13.81% 13.81% 13.81%
Excess Return -2.87 -2.61 -1.4 -1.4 -1.42 -1.45 -1.49
Discounted Excess Return
-1.23 -1.08 -0.96 -0.862 -0.783

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income -5.91 -93.8 -95.67 -108 -293.9 78.76 82.07 52.5 74.39 80.1 86.9 71.64
Total Stockholders Equity 894.3 539.5 562 670 790.7 1,038 1,003 995.7 1,028 562.2 1,313 1,334
Return on Equity -2.59% -16.69% -14.28% -13.66% -28.31% 7.85% 8.24% 5.1% 13.23% 6.1% 6.51% -2.59%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 44.3 2.63 2.63 2.62 44.37 86.02 85.94 85.86
Payout Ratio 66.72% -2.8% -2.74% -2.42% -15.11% 109.1% 104.8% 163% 95.02% 95.02% 95.02% 95.02%
Shares Outstanding 65.15 65.83 65.7 65.43 65.25 65.17 65.1 65.05 64.14 65 65 65
Earnings per Share -0.085 -1.43 -1.46 -1.65 -4.5 1.21 1.26 0.81 1.16 1.23 1.34 1.1
Dividend per Share 0.68 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.68 1.32 1.32 1.32
Dividend Growth Rate -71.3% 0% 0% -94.12% -48.48% 0% 0%
Book Value 13.74 8.2 8.55 10.24 12.12 15.93 15.41 15.31 16.03 8.65 20.2 20.53
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Discounting Cash Flows

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