Intuit Inc. (INTU) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Intuit Inc.
INTU (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 669.8 USD

+
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#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 601.1 USD
Book value of equity invested 64.1 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 105.7 USD
Terminal stage EPS 48.74 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 118.8 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 11.7 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 431.3 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 689.9 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 9.85%
Terminal year's excess return 37.04 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 41.02%
Average historical Payout Ratio 39.09%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 89.08%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 61.46 65.84 65.84 79.59 92.95 104.7 113.7
Ending Book Value 65.84 64.1 79.59 92.95 104.7 113.7 118.8
EPS 10.58 10.84 27.01 32.65 38.13 42.97 46.65
Return on Equity 17.16% 16.47% 41.02% 41.02% 41.02% 41.02% 41.02%
Dividend per Share 3.74 4.02 13.26 19.29 26.34 33.98 41.56
Payout Ratio 35.35% 37.09% 49.09% 59.08% 69.08% 79.08% 89.08%
Retained Earnings 6.84 6.82 13.75 13.36 11.79 8.99 5.1
Equity Cost 6.05 6.48 6.48 7.84 9.15 10.32 11.2
Cost of Equity 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85% 9.85%
Excess Return 4.53 4.35 20.52 24.81 28.97 32.65 35.45
Discounted Excess Return
18.68 20.56 21.86 22.42 22.16

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 1,766 3,037 2,963 2,384 2,066 2,062 1,826 1,557 1,211 971 979 365
Total Stockholders Equity 8,729 17,949 18,436 17,269 16,441 9,869 5,106 3,749 2,354 1,354 1,161 2,332
Return on Equity 41.02% 16.47% 17.16% 14.5% 20.93% 40.38% 48.71% 66.14% 89.44% 83.63% 41.98% 11.9%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 637.3 1,126 1,047 910.4 789.6 661.5 569 504.4 419.8 362.4 324.9 295.1
Payout Ratio 39.09% 37.09% 35.35% 38.21% 38.21% 32.07% 31.14% 32.39% 34.67% 36.81% 33.24% 80.77%
Shares Outstanding 269.8 280 280 281 280 270 261 260 256 257 262 281
Earnings per Share 6.5 10.84 10.58 8.48 7.38 7.64 7 5.99 4.73 3.83 3.73 1.3
Dividend per Share 2.34 4.02 3.74 3.24 2.82 2.45 2.18 1.94 1.64 1.41 1.24 1.05
Dividend Growth Rate 15.65% 7.49% 15.43% 14.89% 15.1% 12.39% 12.37% 18.29% 16.31% 13.71% 18.1% 28.05%
Book Value 31.62 64.1 65.84 61.46 58.72 36.55 19.56 14.42 9.2 5.27 4.43 8.3
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Discounting Cash Flows

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