JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) Simple Dividend Discount Model - Discounting Cash Flows
JPM
JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Dividend Discount Model

This model estimates the value of companies that have reached maturity and pay stable dividends as a significant percentage of their Free Cash Flow to Equity, with little to no high growth prospects.

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

Expected Dividend

Expected Dividend

The estimated annual dividend per share for the next year.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this is equal to the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Forecast Years

Forecast Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Results

LTM Dividend 5.8 USD
Average Dividend Growth Rate 12.27%
Next Year's Expected Dividend 6.49 USD
Cost of Equity 8.96%
Expected Growth Rate 2.5%

Historical and Projected Dividends

Monetary values in USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
LTM
Jan 09
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
Dividend per Share 5.55 5.8 6.49 6.81 6.99 7.16 7.34
Dividend Growth Rate 20.65% 4.5% 16.99% 4.95% 2.51% 2.5% 2.5%

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 09
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Net Income 39,927 58,028
58,471 49,552 37,676 48,334 29,131 36,431 32,474 24,441 24,733
Equity 292,639 360,212
344,758 327,878 292,332 294,127 279,354 261,330 256,515 255,693 254,190
Return on Equity 13.62%
17.83% 16.95% 12.81% 17.3% 11.15% 14.2% 12.7% 9.62% 9.99%
Common Dividends 10,844 16,174
13,220 11,901 11,863 11,180 11,097 10,631 8,423 7,296 6,658
Payout Ratio 29.42% 28.66%
23.24% 24.92% 33.06% 24.04% 40.49% 30.7% 27.43% 32.13% 29.49%
Shares Outstanding 3,148 2,789
2,874 2,939 2,966 3,022 3,082 3,222 3,396 3,576 3,618
Reference Market Price 174.6 329.8 325.5 243.3 170.1 134.1 158.4 127.1 138.3 100.7 106.9 86.29
EPS 12.5 20.24
19.79 16.25 12.1 15.39 8.89 10.75 9.04 6.35 6.24
Dividend per Share 3.72 5.8 5.55 4.6 4.05 4 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.48 2.04 1.84
Dividend Growth Rate 12.27% 4.5% 20.65% 13.58% 1.25% 8.11% 2.78% 9.09% 33.06% 21.57% 10.87% 9.52%
Dividend Yield 2.25% 1.76% 1.7% 1.89% 2.38% 2.98% 2.34% 2.83% 2.38% 2.46% 1.91% 2.13%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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