Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
LOW (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 239.4 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 108.1 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 53.66 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 161.7 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 621 Mil. USD
Total Debt 44.7 Bil. USD
Equity Value 118.1 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 559 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 211.2 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.28%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 9.3%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.01%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-01-31 2027-01-31 2028-01-31 2029-01-31 2030-01-31 2031-01-31 2032-01-31 2033-01-31 2034-01-31 2035-01-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Jan 31
2026
Jan 31
2027
Jan 31
2028
Jan 31
2029
Jan 31
2030
Jan 31
2031
Jan 31
2032
Jan 31
2033
Jan 31
2034
Jan 31
Revenue 87,080 90,646 94,378 98,286 102,378 106,665 111,156 115,862 120,794 125,964
Revenue Growth Rate 4.07% 4.09% 4.12% 4.14% 4.16% 4.19% 4.21% 4.23% 4.26% 4.28%
Operating Cash Flow 8,098 8,430 8,777 9,141 9,521 9,920 10,338 10,775 11,234 11,715
Operating Cash Flow Margin 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3% 9.3%
Capital Expenditure -1,750 -1,822 -1,897 -1,976 -2,058 -2,144 -2,234 -2,329 -2,428 -2,532
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01% -2.01%
Free Cash Flow 6,348 6,608 6,880 7,165 7,463 7,776 8,103 8,446 8,806 9,183
Free Cash Flow Margin 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29% 7.29%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 8.19% 17.14% 26.87% 37.38% 48.75% 61.07% 74.44% 88.88% 104.5%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 6,348 6,108 5,873 5,648 5,433 5,227 5,031 4,842 4,662 4,490

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 04
2024
Jan 31
2023
Jan 31
2022
Jan 31
2021
Jan 31
2020
Jan 31
2019
Jan 31
2018
Jan 31
2017
Jan 31
2016
Jan 31
2015
Jan 31
Revenue 79,398 84,255 83,674 86,377 97,059 96,250 89,597 72,148 71,309 68,619 65,017 59,074
Revenue Growth Rate 4.07% 0.694% -3.13% -11.01% 0.841% 7.42% 24.19% 1.18% 3.92% 5.54% 10.06% 5.07%
Cost of Revenue 54,579 57,778 57,526 59,250 66,568 65,856 61,424 50,467 49,878 47,589 44,042 39,988
Gross Profit 24,819 26,477 26,148 27,127 30,491 30,394 28,173 21,681 21,431 21,030 20,975 19,086
Gross Margin 31.26% 31.42% 31.25% 31.41% 31.41% 31.58% 31.44% 30.05% 30.05% 30.65% 32.26% 32.31%
Operating Income 8,882 10,194 10,112 11,534 12,660 12,255 10,882 6,579 6,105 6,586 5,813 4,981
Operating Margin 10.92% 12.1% 12.08% 13.35% 13.04% 12.73% 12.15% 9.12% 8.56% 9.6% 8.94% 8.43%
Net Income 5,260 6,779 6,957 7,726 6,437 8,442 5,835 4,281 2,314 3,447 3,091 2,546
Net Margin 6.41% 8.05% 8.31% 8.95% 6.63% 8.77% 6.51% 5.93% 3.25% 5.02% 4.75% 4.31%
Cash from Operating Activities 7,516 9,208 9,625 8,140 8,589 10,113 11,049 4,296 6,193 5,065 5,617 4,784
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 9.3% 10.93% 11.5% 9.42% 8.85% 10.51% 12.33% 5.95% 8.69% 7.38% 8.64% 8.1%
Capital Expenditure -1,606 -2,158 -1,927 -1,964 -1,829 -1,853 -1,791 -1,484 -1,174 -1,123 -1,167 -1,197
Free Cash Flow 5,910 7,050 7,698 6,176 6,760 8,260 9,258 2,812 5,019 3,942 4,450 3,587
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Discounting Cash Flows

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