Methanex Corporation (MEOH) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
MEOH
Methanex Corporation
MEOH (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

Check out Nathan's YouTube Channel

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 16.04 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 7.3 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 3.6 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 10.9 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 413 Mil. USD
Total Debt 3.61 Bil. USD
Equity Value 7.7 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 77.34 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 99.59 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.19%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 19.43%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -8.68%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 3,892 4,071 4,255 4,446 4,643 4,847 5,057 5,274 5,498 5,728
Revenue Growth Rate 4.63% 4.58% 4.54% 4.49% 4.44% 4.39% 4.34% 4.29% 4.24% 4.19%
Operating Cash Flow 756.3 790.9 826.8 863.9 902.2 941.8 982.7 1,025 1,068 1,113
Operating Cash Flow Margin 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43% 19.43%
Capital Expenditure -337.8 -353.3 -369.3 -385.8 -403 -420.6 -438.9 -457.7 -477.1 -497.1
Capital Expenditure Margin -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68% -8.68%
Free Cash Flow 418.5 437.7 457.5 478.1 499.3 521.2 543.8 567.1 591.1 615.9
Free Cash Flow Margin 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75% 10.75%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.91% 16.75% 26.34% 36.68% 47.88% 59.99% 73.13% 87.31% 102.7%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 418.5 405.6 391.9 378.4 365.3 352.4 339.9 327.6 315.6 303.9

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 12
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 3,359 3,559 3,720 3,723 4,311 4,415 2,650 3,360 3,932 3,061 1,998 2,226
Revenue Growth Rate 4.63% -4.32% -0.098% -13.63% -2.34% 66.59% -21.13% -14.55% 28.46% 53.15% -10.21% -30.95%
Cost of Revenue 2,647 2,745 3,009 3,068 3,446 3,340 2,034 2,631 2,857 2,352 1,774 1,858
Gross Profit 712.7 813.9 710.4 655.4 865.1 1,075 615.9 728.4 1,075 708.7 224 367.7
Gross Margin 20.65% 22.87% 19.1% 17.6% 20.07% 24.35% 23.24% 21.68% 27.34% 23.16% 11.21% 16.52%
Operating Income 380.4 574.3 362 263.6 610.6 712 -52.45 141.9 829.6 476.5 28.45 237.9
Operating Margin 10.39% 16.14% 9.73% 7.08% 14.16% 16.13% -1.98% 4.22% 21.1% 15.57% 1.42% 10.69%
Net Income 217.7 213.8 164 174.1 353.8 482.4 -156.7 89.81 569 316.1 -12.54 200.6
Net Margin 5.83% 6.01% 4.41% 4.68% 8.21% 10.93% -5.91% 2.67% 14.47% 10.33% -0.628% 9.01%
Cash from Operating Activities 676.7 878.8 737.2 660.3 987.3 994.4 461.1 409.5 980.2 787.7 249.9 297
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 19.43% 24.69% 19.82% 17.73% 22.9% 22.52% 17.4% 12.19% 24.93% 25.74% 12.51% 13.34%
Capital Expenditure -282.8 -119.9 -174.1 -448.5 -577.4 -245.4 -341.8 -331.4 -244.5 -103.2 -99.95 -424.2
Free Cash Flow 393.9 758.8 563.1 211.8 410 748.9 119.3 78.06 735.7 684.6 150 -127.3
discounting cash flows home logo

Discounting Cash Flows

Are you finding our services helpful? Review us on trustpilot logo Trustpilot
Have a question? Contact us
Want to become our sponsor?
Check out our Affiliate Program