Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
MNST
Monster Beverage Corporation
MNST (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 86.07 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 39.21 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 17.69 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 56.9 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 2.29 Bil. USD
Total Debt 0 USD
Equity Value 59.48 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 989.5 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 60.1 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.18%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 23.52%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.57%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 8,342 9,220 10,119 11,024 11,923 12,800 13,640 14,427 15,144 15,778
Revenue Growth Rate 11.33% 10.54% 9.74% 8.95% 8.15% 7.36% 6.56% 5.77% 4.97% 4.18%
Operating Cash Flow 1,962 2,169 2,380 2,593 2,804 3,011 3,208 3,393 3,562 3,711
Operating Cash Flow Margin 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52% 23.52%
Capital Expenditure -214.8 -237.4 -260.6 -283.9 -307 -329.6 -351.2 -371.5 -390 -406.3
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57% -2.57%
Free Cash Flow 1,747 1,931 2,119 2,309 2,497 2,681 2,857 3,022 3,172 3,305
Free Cash Flow Margin 20.94% 20.94% 20.95% 20.94% 20.95% 20.94% 20.94% 20.94% 20.94% 20.94%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.85% 16.68% 26.25% 36.58% 47.75% 59.83% 72.94% 87.09% 102.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 1,747 1,791 1,816 1,829 1,828 1,815 1,787 1,747 1,695 1,633

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 14
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 5,110 7,975 7,493 7,140 6,311 5,541 4,599 4,201 3,807 3,369 3,049 2,723
Revenue Growth Rate 11.33% 6.44% 4.94% 13.14% 13.89% 20.5% 9.47% 10.34% 13% 10.48% 12% 10.45%
Cost of Revenue 2,216 3,524 3,444 3,346 3,136 2,433 1,875 1,682 1,512 1,231 1,107 1,090
Gross Profit 2,893 4,451 4,049 3,794 3,175 3,109 2,724 2,519 2,295 2,138 1,942 1,632
Gross Margin 57.81% 55.81% 54.04% 53.14% 50.3% 56.1% 59.23% 59.95% 60.29% 63.45% 63.68% 59.95%
Operating Income 1,547 2,258 1,930 1,953 1,585 1,797 1,633 1,403 1,284 1,199 1,085 893.7
Operating Margin 31.42% 28.31% 25.76% 27.36% 25.11% 32.44% 35.51% 33.4% 33.72% 35.58% 35.59% 32.82%
Net Income 1,184 1,727 1,509 1,631 1,192 1,377 1,410 1,108 993 820.7 712.7 546.7
Net Margin 23.57% 21.65% 20.14% 22.84% 18.88% 24.86% 30.65% 26.37% 26.08% 24.36% 23.37% 20.08%
Cash from Operating Activities 1,219 2,180 1,929 1,718 887.7 1,156 1,364 1,114 1,162 987.7 701.4 208
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 23.52% 27.34% 25.74% 24.06% 14.07% 20.86% 29.66% 26.51% 30.52% 29.32% 23% 7.64%
Capital Expenditure -138.2 -216.3 -306.4 -234.7 -212.2 -57.45 -67.27 -110.4 -74.92 -93.13 -105.3 -42.49
Free Cash Flow 1,081 1,964 1,622 1,483 675.5 1,098 1,297 1,003 1,087 894.6 596 165.5
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Discounting Cash Flows

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