The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
PG
The Procter & Gamble Company
PG (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 518 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 239.5 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 119.3 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 358.8 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 10.82 Bil. USD
Total Debt 36.64 Bil. USD
Equity Value 333 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 2.42 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 137.4 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.02%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.29%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -4.53%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-06-30 2027-06-30 2028-06-30 2029-06-30 2030-06-30 2031-06-30 2032-06-30 2033-06-30 2034-06-30 2035-06-30

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Jun 30
2027
Jun 30
2028
Jun 30
2029
Jun 30
2030
Jun 30
2031
Jun 30
2032
Jun 30
2033
Jun 30
2034
Jun 30
2035
Jun 30
Revenue 85,784 87,525 89,518 91,780 94,328 97,180 100,362 103,896 107,815 112,149
Revenue Growth Rate 1.78% 2.03% 2.28% 2.53% 2.78% 3.02% 3.27% 3.52% 3.77% 4.02%
Operating Cash Flow 19,121 19,509 19,954 20,458 21,026 21,662 22,371 23,159 24,032 24,998
Operating Cash Flow Margin 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29% 22.29%
Capital Expenditure -3,886 -3,965 -4,055 -4,158 -4,273 -4,402 -4,546 -4,707 -4,884 -5,080
Capital Expenditure Margin -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53% -4.53%
Free Cash Flow 15,235 15,544 15,898 16,300 16,753 17,259 17,824 18,452 19,148 19,918
Free Cash Flow Margin 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76% 17.76%
Compounded Discount Rate 2.63% 10.87% 19.78% 29.39% 39.77% 50.97% 63.12% 76.2% 90.33% 105.6%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 14,844 14,021 13,273 12,598 11,986 11,432 10,927 10,472 10,060 9,688

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 27
2025
Jun 30
2024
Jun 30
2023
Jun 30
2022
Jun 30
2021
Jun 30
2020
Jun 30
2019
Jun 30
2018
Jun 30
2017
Jun 30
2016
Jun 30
Revenue 75,247 85,259 84,284 84,039 82,006 80,187 76,118 70,950 67,684 66,832 65,058 65,299
Revenue Growth Rate 1.78% 1.16% 0.292% 2.48% 2.27% 5.35% 7.28% 4.83% 1.27% 2.73% -0.369% -7.7%
Cost of Revenue 37,825 42,046 41,164 40,848 42,760 42,157 37,108 35,250 34,768 34,432 32,638 32,909
Gross Profit 37,421 43,213 43,120 43,191 39,246 38,030 39,010 35,700 32,916 32,400 32,420 32,390
Gross Margin 49.69% 50.68% 51.16% 51.39% 47.86% 47.43% 51.25% 50.32% 48.63% 48.48% 49.83% 49.6%
Operating Income 15,893 20,135 20,451 18,545 18,134 17,813 17,986 15,706 5,487 13,363 13,766 13,441
Operating Margin 20.9% 23.62% 24.26% 22.07% 22.11% 22.21% 23.63% 22.14% 8.11% 19.99% 21.16% 20.58%
Net Income 13,048 16,466 15,974 14,879 14,653 14,742 14,306 13,027 3,897 9,750 15,326 10,508
Net Margin 17.21% 19.31% 18.95% 17.7% 17.87% 18.38% 18.79% 18.36% 5.76% 14.59% 23.56% 16.09%
Cash from Operating Activities 16,761 19,070 17,817 19,846 16,848 16,723 18,371 17,403 15,242 14,867 12,753 15,435
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.29% 22.37% 21.14% 23.62% 20.54% 20.86% 24.13% 24.53% 22.52% 22.25% 19.6% 23.64%
Capital Expenditure -3,378 -4,222 -3,773 -3,322 -3,062 -3,156 -2,787 -3,073 -3,347 -3,717 -3,384 -3,314
Free Cash Flow 13,383 14,848 14,044 16,524 13,786 13,567 15,584 14,330 11,895 11,150 9,369 12,121
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Discounting Cash Flows

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