Provident Financial Holdings, Inc. (PROV) Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model - Discounting Cash Flows
PROV
Provident Financial Holdings, Inc.
PROV (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Dividend Discount Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, calculated using [Sum of Discounted Dividends], followed by a period of stable growth, calculated using [Discounted Terminal Value].

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

High Growth Years

High Growth Years

The estimated number of years during which the company is expected to experience high growth. After this period, the company will transition to a stable growth phase.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

High Growth Rate

High Growth Rate

The estimated growth rate of Earnings Per Share (EPS) during the high-growth phase.

High Growth Payout

High Growth Payout

The estimated dividend payout rate expressed as a percentage of Earnings Per Share (EPS) during the high-growth phase.

Stable Growth In Perpetuity

Stable Growth in Perpetuity

The estimated stable rate at which the company's Earnings Per Share (EPS) will grow in perpetuity after the last projected period.

Stable Payout

Stable Payout

The estimated dividend payout rate expressed as a percentage of Earnings Per Share (EPS) after the last projected period.

Results

Sum of discounted dividends 3.05 USD
Discounted terminal value 12.93 USD
Terminal value 16.98 USD
Dividend in stable phase 0.526 USD
EPS in stable phase 1.03 USD
Average historical Dividend Growth Rate 1.64%
Average historical Payout Ratio 73.36%
Average historical Return on Equity 5.09%

Historical and Projected Dividends

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-06-30 2027-06-30 2028-06-30 2029-06-30 2030-06-30

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Jun 30
LTM
Jan 24
2026
Jun 30
2027
Jun 30
2028
Jun 30
2029
Jun 30
2030
Jun 30
Earnings Per Share 0.93 0.92 0.945 0.961 0.977 0.993 1.01
Dividend per Share 0.56 0.56 0.693 0.705 0.716 0.728 0.74
Dividend Growth Rate 0% 0% 23.83% 1.64% 1.64% 1.64% 1.64%
Discounted Dividend 0.56 0.56 0.657 0.632 0.608 0.586 0.564

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 24
2025
Jun 30
2024
Jun 30
2023
Jun 30
2022
Jun 30
2021
Jun 30
2020
Jun 30
2019
Jun 30
2018
Jun 30
2017
Jun 30
2016
Jun 30
Net Income 6.53 6.04 6.25 7.35 8.59 9.09 7.56 7.69 4.42 2.13 5.21 7.47
Equity 127.2 128.4 128.5 129.9 129.7 128.7 127.3 124 120.6 120.5 128.2 133.5
Return on Equity 5.09% 4.7% 4.81% 5.67% 6.68% 7.14% 6.1% 6.37% 3.67% 1.66% 3.9% 5.3%
Common Dividends 4.06 3.62 3.76 3.89 4 4.15 4.18 4.18 4.19 4.22 4.28 4.17
Payout Ratio 73.37% 60.87% 60.22% 52.83% 46.67% 45.53% 55.45% 54.37% 94.92% 200% 81.82% 54.35%
Shares Outstanding 7.35 6.46 6.72 6.94 7.14 7.4 7.46 7.47 7.49 7.54 7.92 8.35
Reference Market Price 16.31 16.3 15.61 12.5 12.75 14.59 17.37 12.84 20.99 19.08 19.25 18.08
EPS 0.894 0.92 0.93 1.06 1.2 1.23 1.01 1.03 0.59 0.28 0.66 0.92
Dividend per Share 0.553 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.56 0.54 0.5
Dividend Growth Rate 1.64% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 3.7% 8% 6.38%
Dividend Yield 3.5% 3.44% 3.59% 4.48% 4.39% 3.84% 3.22% 4.36% 2.67% 2.94% 2.8% 2.77%
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Discounting Cash Flows

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