Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.
SFM (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 16.47 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 7.65 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 3.33 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 10.98 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 257.3 Mil. USD
Total Debt 1.94 Bil. USD
Equity Value 9.3 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 96.68 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 96.16 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 3.97%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 6.88%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.98%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-28 2027-12-28 2028-12-28 2029-12-28 2030-12-28 2031-12-28 2032-12-28 2033-12-28 2034-12-28 2035-12-28

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Dec 28
2027
Dec 28
2028
Dec 28
2029
Dec 28
2030
Dec 28
2031
Dec 28
2032
Dec 28
2033
Dec 28
2034
Dec 28
2035
Dec 28
Revenue 9,571 10,353 11,144 11,936 12,723 13,495 14,243 14,958 15,630 16,251
Revenue Growth Rate 8.69% 8.16% 7.64% 7.12% 6.59% 6.07% 5.54% 5.02% 4.49% 3.97%
Operating Cash Flow 658.7 712.5 766.9 821.5 875.6 928.7 980.2 1,029 1,076 1,118
Operating Cash Flow Margin 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88% 6.88%
Capital Expenditure -285.5 -308.8 -332.4 -356.1 -379.5 -402.6 -424.9 -446.2 -466.2 -484.8
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98% -2.98%
Free Cash Flow 373.2 403.6 434.5 465.4 496.1 526.2 555.3 583.2 609.4 633.6
Free Cash Flow Margin 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9% 3.9%
Compounded Discount Rate 6.55% 15.04% 24.24% 34.14% 44.83% 56.37% 68.87% 82.33% 96.86% 112.6%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 350.2 350.9 349.7 347 342.5 336.5 328.9 319.9 309.6 298.1

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Mar 01
2025
Dec 28
2024
Dec 29
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 6,427 8,806 8,806 7,719 6,837 6,404 6,100 6,469 5,635 5,207 4,665 4,046
Revenue Growth Rate 8.69% 0% 14.08% 12.9% 6.76% 4.99% -5.7% 14.8% 8.21% 11.63% 15.28% 12.62%
Cost of Revenue 4,091 5,429 5,540 4,757 4,297 4,043 3,880 4,082 3,732 3,460 3,098 2,683
Gross Profit 2,336 3,377 3,266 2,962 2,540 2,361 2,220 2,387 1,903 1,747 1,567 1,363
Gross Margin 35.98% 38.35% 37.09% 38.37% 37.15% 36.87% 36.39% 36.9% 33.77% 33.56% 33.59% 33.7%
Operating Income 381.5 687.1 691.1 504.5 350.2 358.4 334.1 391.7 217.4 222.9 226.1 212.9
Operating Margin 5.7% 7.8% 7.85% 6.54% 5.12% 5.6% 5.48% 6.05% 3.86% 4.28% 4.85% 5.26%
Net Income 279.1 523.7 523.7 380.6 258.9 261.2 244.2 287.4 149.6 158.5 158.4 124.3
Net Margin 4.12% 5.95% 5.95% 4.93% 3.79% 4.08% 4% 4.44% 2.66% 3.04% 3.4% 3.07%
Cash from Operating Activities 453.1 714.4 716 645.2 465.1 371.3 364.8 494 355.2 294.4 309.6 254.4
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 6.88% 8.11% 8.13% 8.36% 6.8% 5.8% 5.98% 7.64% 6.3% 5.65% 6.64% 6.29%
Capital Expenditure -185.5 -248.3 -248.3 -230.4 -225.3 -124 -102.4 -122 -183.2 -177.1 -198.6 -181.5
Free Cash Flow 267.6 466.1 467.7 414.8 239.8 247.3 262.4 372.1 172 117.3 110.9 72.84
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Discounting Cash Flows

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