Savaria Corporation (SIS.TO) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
SIS.TO
Savaria Corporation
SIS.TO (TSX)

Estimated Value

CAD

Market Price CAD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 7.86 Bil. CAD
Discounted Terminal Value 3.55 Bil. CAD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 1.36 Bil. CAD
Enterprise Value 4.91 Bil. CAD
Cash and Equivalents 51.13 Mil. CAD
Total Debt 257 Mil. CAD
Equity Value 4.7 Bil. CAD
Shares Outstanding 71.49 Mil. CAD
Estimated Value per Share 65.79 CAD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.26%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.6%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.22%

Monetary values in CAD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
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2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
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2032
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Dec 31
Revenue 1,100 1,366 1,664 1,984 2,316 2,646 2,957 3,231 3,449 3,596
Revenue Growth Rate 26.74% 24.24% 21.74% 19.25% 16.75% 14.25% 11.75% 9.26% 6.76% 4.26%
Operating Cash Flow 127.6 158.5 193 230.1 268.7 306.9 343 374.8 400.1 417.1
Operating Cash Flow Margin 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6% 11.6%
Capital Expenditure -35.39 -43.97 -53.53 -63.84 -74.53 -85.15 -95.16 -104 -111 -115.7
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22% -3.22%
Free Cash Flow 92.19 114.5 139.4 166.3 194.1 221.8 247.9 270.8 289.1 301.4
Free Cash Flow Margin 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38% 8.38%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.53% 16.41% 26.06% 36.47% 47.74% 59.95% 73.2% 87.5% 103%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 92.19 106.5 119.8 131.9 142.2 150.1 155 156.4 154.2 148.5

Monetary values in CAD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
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2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 496.4 895.1 867.8 837 789.1 661 354.5 374.3 286 180.5 119.7 95.26
Revenue Growth Rate 26.74% 3.15% 3.68% 6.07% 19.38% 86.46% -5.3% 30.87% 58.45% 50.77% 25.68% 14.9%
Cost of Revenue 324 551 546 550.9 534.7 445.4 232.4 249 192.9 116.6 79.16 65.69
Gross Profit 172.4 344.1 321.7 286 254.4 215.5 122.1 125.3 93.11 63.92 40.57 29.58
Gross Margin 34.12% 38.44% 37.07% 34.17% 32.24% 32.61% 34.45% 33.48% 32.55% 35.41% 33.88% 31.05%
Operating Income 46.14 98.06 84.14 72.15 63.94 35.88 38.76 36.58 26.58 22.64 17.45 11.4
Operating Margin 10.17% 10.96% 9.7% 8.62% 8.1% 5.43% 10.93% 9.77% 9.29% 12.54% 14.57% 11.97%
Net Income 27.75 61.74 48.51 37.84 35.31 11.54 26.46 25.75 17.66 19.25 12.3 8.94
Net Margin 6.73% 6.9% 5.59% 4.52% 4.47% 1.75% 7.46% 6.88% 6.17% 10.66% 10.27% 9.39%
Cash from Operating Activities 57.76 134.8 120.1 78.62 90.74 57.28 49.31 30.31 24.72 19.24 18.09 12.13
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 11.6% 15.06% 13.84% 9.39% 11.5% 8.67% 13.91% 8.1% 8.64% 10.66% 15.11% 12.73%
Capital Expenditure -12.56 -15.86 -20.15 -18.86 -20.52 -15.71 -6.98 -9.61 -11.36 -7.63 -3.27 -8.19
Free Cash Flow 45.2 118.9 99.95 59.76 70.22 41.56 42.33 20.7 13.36 11.61 14.81 3.94
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Discounting Cash Flows

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