Sonos, Inc. (SONO) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
SONO
Sonos, Inc.
SONO (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
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Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 2.97 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 1.37 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 637 Mil. USD
Enterprise Value 2.01 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 312.5 Mil. USD
Total Debt 59.22 Mil. USD
Equity Value 2.31 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 120.5 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 19.21 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.02%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 7.9%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -2.92%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-09-27 2027-09-27 2028-09-27 2029-09-27 2030-09-27 2031-09-27 2032-09-27 2033-09-27 2034-09-27 2035-09-27

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Sep 27
2027
Sep 27
2028
Sep 27
2029
Sep 27
2030
Sep 27
2031
Sep 27
2032
Sep 27
2033
Sep 27
2034
Sep 27
2035
Sep 27
Revenue 1,522 1,603 1,685 1,769 1,854 1,940 2,028 2,116 2,204 2,293
Revenue Growth Rate 5.46% 5.3% 5.14% 4.98% 4.82% 4.66% 4.5% 4.34% 4.18% 4.02%
Operating Cash Flow 120.3 126.7 133.2 139.8 146.5 153.3 160.2 167.2 174.2 181.2
Operating Cash Flow Margin 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9% 7.9%
Capital Expenditure -44.46 -46.81 -49.22 -51.67 -54.15 -56.68 -59.23 -61.8 -64.38 -66.97
Capital Expenditure Margin -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92% -2.92%
Free Cash Flow 75.83 79.84 83.94 88.12 92.37 96.67 101 105.4 109.8 114.2
Free Cash Flow Margin 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98% 4.98%
Compounded Discount Rate 4.61% 12.99% 22.08% 31.87% 42.45% 53.87% 66.25% 79.58% 93.99% 109.5%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 72.49 70.66 68.76 66.82 64.84 62.82 60.76 58.69 56.6 54.51

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 26
2025
Sep 27
2024
Sep 28
2023
Sep 30
2022
Oct 01
2021
Oct 02
2020
Oct 03
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
Revenue 1,377 1,438 1,443 1,518 1,655 1,752 1,717 1,326 1,261 1,137 992.5 901.3
Revenue Growth Rate 5.46% -0.36% -4.93% -8.29% -5.54% 2.07% 29.44% 5.2% 10.89% 14.56% 10.12% 6.85%
Cost of Revenue 764.4 795.5 812.7 828.7 938.8 956 906.8 754.4 733.5 647.7 536.5 497.9
Gross Profit 612.1 642.6 630.5 689.4 716.5 796.4 810 572 527.3 489.3 456.1 403.4
Gross Margin 44.4% 44.68% 43.69% 45.41% 43.29% 45.45% 47.18% 43.12% 41.83% 43.03% 45.95% 44.76%
Operating Income 4.42 4.36 -50.47 -48.05 -20.55 89.53 155 -27.23 1.42 -8.88 -15.61 -30.87
Operating Margin -0.108% 0.303% -3.5% -3.16% -1.24% 5.11% 9.03% -2.05% 0.113% -0.781% -1.57% -3.43%
Net Income 0.538 -17.58 -61.14 -38.15 -10.27 67.38 158.6 -20.11 -4.77 -15.6 -14.22 -38.21
Net Margin -0.404% -1.22% -4.24% -2.51% -0.621% 3.84% 9.24% -1.52% -0.378% -1.37% -1.43% -4.24%
Cash from Operating Activities 110.6 144 136.9 189.9 100.4 -28.26 253.2 162 120.6 30.57 63.96 43.29
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 7.9% 10.01% 9.48% 12.51% 6.07% -1.61% 14.75% 12.21% 9.57% 2.69% 6.44% 4.8%
Capital Expenditure -38.69 -21.53 -28.68 -55.25 -50.29 -46.22 -45.53 -33.03 -23.22 -35.75 -33.55 -52.52
Free Cash Flow 71.91 122.5 108.2 134.7 50.12 -74.48 207.7 129 97.41 -5.18 30.41 -9.23
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Discounting Cash Flows

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