Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
SQM
Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.
SQM (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 35.18 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 15.97 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 6.35 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 22.32 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 1.49 Bil. USD
Total Debt 4.71 Bil. USD
Equity Value 19.99 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 285.7 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 69.99 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.22%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.33%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -13.83%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 5,563 6,718 7,973 9,299 10,653 11,984 13,233 14,338 15,240 15,883
Revenue Growth Rate 22.83% 20.76% 18.69% 16.63% 14.56% 12.49% 10.42% 8.36% 6.29% 4.22%
Operating Cash Flow 1,242 1,500 1,780 2,076 2,379 2,676 2,955 3,202 3,403 3,547
Operating Cash Flow Margin 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33% 22.33%
Capital Expenditure -769.3 -929 -1,103 -1,286 -1,473 -1,657 -1,830 -1,983 -2,108 -2,197
Capital Expenditure Margin -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83% -13.83%
Free Cash Flow 472.8 571 677.7 790.4 905.5 1,019 1,125 1,219 1,295 1,350
Free Cash Flow Margin 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5% 8.5%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 7.29% 16.11% 25.68% 36.01% 47.19% 59.29% 72.42% 86.59% 101.9%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 472.8 532.2 583.7 628.9 665.8 692 706.1 706.9 694.3 668.6

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 09
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 3,795 4,326 4,529 7,467 10,711 2,862 1,817 1,944 2,266 2,157 1,939 1,728
Revenue Growth Rate 22.83% -4.47% -39.35% -30.28% 274.2% 57.51% -6.51% -14.22% 5.03% 11.24% 12.21% -14.19%
Cost of Revenue 2,326 3,128 3,202 4,392 4,974 1,772 1,334 1,384 1,486 1,395 1,328 1,186
Gross Profit 1,470 1,198 1,327 3,075 5,737 1,090 482.9 560.1 780.2 762.5 611 542.7
Gross Margin 34.35% 27.69% 29.3% 41.18% 53.56% 38.08% 26.57% 28.81% 34.43% 35.34% 31.51% 31.4%
Operating Income 1,283 910.9 1,066 2,844 5,531 927.3 302.5 433.7 666.6 618.1 448.8 368.6
Operating Margin 28.02% 21.06% 23.54% 38.09% 51.64% 32.4% 16.65% 22.31% 29.42% 28.65% 23.14% 21.33%
Net Income 766.7 524.5 -404.4 2,013 3,906 585.5 164.5 278.1 439.8 427.7 278.3 220.4
Net Margin 16.07% 12.12% -8.93% 26.95% 36.47% 20.45% 9.05% 14.31% 19.41% 19.83% 14.35% 12.75%
Cash from Operating Activities 871.9 1,054 1,275 -178.3 4,080 822.5 182.2 427 439.8 427.7 633.7 427.3
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 22.33% 24.37% 28.15% -2.39% 38.09% 28.74% 10.03% 21.97% 19.41% 19.83% 32.67% 24.72%
Capital Expenditure -526 -988.5 -971.8 -1,104 -905.2 -464.7 -322.2 -323.8 -319.1 -142.1 -133.3 -111.3
Free Cash Flow 345.9 65.65 302.9 -1,282 3,175 357.8 -140 103.2 120.8 285.6 500.3 316
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Discounting Cash Flows

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