Seritage Growth Properties (SRG) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Seritage Growth Properties
SRG (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 2.94 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 4.4 USD
Book value of equity invested 6.77 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -2.21 USD
Terminal stage EPS -0.017 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 0.103 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.015 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -0.156 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -0.312 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 14.84%
Terminal year's excess return -0.032 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -16.71%
Average historical Payout Ratio -586.9%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 126.8%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 10.0 7.19 7.19 0.652 0.215 0.122 0.098
Ending Book Value 7.19 6.77 0.652 0.215 0.122 0.098 0.103
EPS -2.82 -0.06 -1.2 -0.109 -0.036 -0.02 -0.016
Return on Equity -27.32% -39.06% -16.71% -16.71% -16.71% -16.71% -16.71%
Dividend per Share
1.0 5.34 0.328 0.057 0.003 -0.021
Payout Ratio -444.2% -1,667% -444.2% -301.4% -158.7% -15.94% 126.8%
Retained Earnings
-1.06 -6.54 -0.437 -0.093 -0.024 0.004
Equity Cost 1.48 1.07 1.07 0.097 0.032 0.018 0.015
Cost of Equity 14.84% 14.84% 14.84% 14.84% 14.84% 14.84% 14.84%
Excess Return -4.3 -1.13 -2.27 -0.206 -0.068 -0.038 -0.031
Discounted Excess Return
-1.98 -0.156 -0.045 -0.022 -0.016

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income -99.11 -158 -153.5 -154.9 -120.1 -38.98 -153 -90.6 -73.47 -73.75 -51.56 -22.34
Total Stockholders Equity 681.4 381.1 404.5 562 720.5 687.7 649 731.4 780.8 886.7 804.6 886.7
Return on Equity -16.71% -39.06% -27.32% -21.5% -17.46% -6.01% -20.91% -11.6% -8.29% -9.17% -5.82% -16.71%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 41.88 56.28
35.56 33.79
Payout Ratio -483.2% -1,667% -444.2% -444.2% -444.2% -444.2% -444.2% -444.2% -48.31% -45.87% -444.2% -444.2%
Shares Outstanding 42.52 56.28 56.26 56.19 49.73 42.39 38.3 36.41 35.56 33.79 31.42 31.39
Earnings per Share -2.01 -0.06 -2.82 -2.84 -2.42 -0.92 -3.99 -2.49 -2.07 -2.18 -1.64 -0.71
Dividend per Share 1.0 1.0
1.0 1.0
Dividend Growth Rate
0%
Book Value 17.62 6.77 7.19 10.0 14.49 16.22 16.95 20.09 21.96 26.24 25.61 28.25
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Discounting Cash Flows

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