Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc. (SSD) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
SSD
Simpson Manufacturing Co., Inc.
SSD (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 5.34 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 3.37 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 1.16 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 4.53 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 384.1 Mil. USD
Total Debt 564.1 Mil. USD
Equity Value 4.35 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 41.34 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 105.2 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.16%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 13.5%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 3.94%
Cost of Equity 10.25%
Equity Weight 93.71%
Cost of Debt 0.353%
Debt Weight 6.29%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 10.71%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
Revenue 2,333 2,583 2,859 3,165 3,505 3,880
Revenue Growth Rate 4.51% 10.71% 10.71% 10.71% 10.71% 10.71%
Operating Cash Flow 0 348.7 386 427.3 473.1 523.8
Operating Cash Flow Margin 0% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5% 13.5%
Capital Expenditure 0 101.8 112.7 124.8 138.1 152.9
Capital Expenditure Margin 0% 3.94% 3.94% 3.94% 3.94% 3.94%
Free Cash Flow 0 246.9 273.3 302.6 335 370.9
Free Cash Flow Margin 0% 9.56% 9.56% 9.56% 9.56% 9.56%
Compounded Discount Rate
8.47% 18.91% 30.39% 42.94% 56.69%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 0 227.6 229.9 232.1 234.4 236.7

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 11
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 1,647 2,333 2,333 2,232 2,214 2,116 1,573 1,268 1,137 1,079 977 860.7
Revenue Growth Rate 10.71% 0% 4.51% 0.828% 4.62% 34.51% 24.08% 11.56% 5.35% 10.42% 13.52% 8.39%
Cost of Revenue 891.8 1,262 1,263 1,206 1,170 1,175 818.5 692.4 645.3 598.3 530.8 448.2
Gross Profit 755.7 1,071 1,070 1,026 1,044 941.2 754.7 575.5 491.3 480.5 446.3 412.4
Gross Margin 45.82% 45.9% 45.85% 45.97% 47.15% 44.48% 47.97% 45.39% 43.22% 44.54% 45.68% 47.92%
Operating Income 320.6 458 442.6 430 479.7 475 367.5 252 175.2 168.4 139 139.6
Operating Margin 18.79% 19.63% 18.97% 19.26% 21.67% 22.45% 23.36% 19.88% 15.42% 15.61% 14.23% 16.22%
Net Income 236.1 345.1 345.1 322.2 354 334 266.4 187 134 126.6 92.62 89.73
Net Margin 13.72% 14.79% 14.79% 14.44% 15.99% 15.78% 16.94% 14.75% 11.79% 11.74% 9.48% 10.43%
Cash from Operating Activities 218.8 303 0 338.2 427 399.8 151.3 207.6 205.7 160.1 119.1 94.95
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 13.5% 12.99% 0% 15.15% 19.29% 18.89% 9.62% 16.37% 18.1% 14.84% 12.19% 11.03%
Capital Expenditure 64.57 124.3 0 180.4 88.82 62.36 49.59 37.91 37.53 29.31 58.04 42
Capital Expenditure Margin 3.94% 5.33% 0% 8.08% 4.01% 2.95% 3.15% 2.99% 3.3% 2.72% 5.94% 4.88%
Free Cash Flow 154.2 178.6 0 157.8 338.2 337.5 101.7 169.7 168.1 130.8 61.02 52.95
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Discounting Cash Flows

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