Sitio Royalties Corp. (STR) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
STR
Sitio Royalties Corp.
STR (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
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Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 21.28 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 9.78 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 3.68 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 13.46 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 383 Thou. USD
Total Debt 1.09 Bil. USD
Equity Value 12.37 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 77.58 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 159.5 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.09%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 66.93%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -37.14%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 801.4 1,007 1,238 1,489 1,751 2,011 2,256 2,470 2,638 2,745
Revenue Growth Rate 28.35% 25.65% 22.96% 20.26% 17.57% 14.87% 12.18% 9.48% 6.79% 4.09%
Operating Cash Flow 536.4 674 828.8 996.7 1,172 1,346 1,510 1,653 1,765 1,837
Operating Cash Flow Margin 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93% 66.93%
Capital Expenditure -297.7 -374 -459.9 -553.1 -650.2 -746.9 -837.9 -917.3 -979.6 -1,020
Capital Expenditure Margin -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14% -37.14%
Free Cash Flow 238.7 300 368.9 443.6 521.6 599.1 672.1 735.8 785.7 817.9
Free Cash Flow Margin 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79% 29.79%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 6.94% 15.6% 24.97% 35.08% 46.01% 57.83% 70.63% 84.43% 99.35%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 238.7 280.5 319.1 355 386.1 410.3 425.8 431.2 426 410.3

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 19
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 348.7 613.6 624.4 593.4 369.6 120.6 45.7 68.46 98.66 95.97 70.12 1,135
Revenue Growth Rate 28.35% -1.72% 5.23% 60.53% 206.5% 163.9% -33.25% -30.6% 2.8% 36.87% -93.82% -4.57%
Cost of Revenue 110.2 370.7 366.7 170.1 104.5 40.91 32.05 17 22.11 39.08 40.37 8.9
Gross Profit 238.5 242.9 257.7 423.3 265.1 79.68 13.65 51.46 76.55 56.89 29.75 1,126
Gross Margin 61.23% 39.59% 41.28% 71.33% 71.72% 66.08% 29.87% 75.17% 77.59% 59.28% 42.43% 99.22%
Operating Income 108 190.3 203 35.39 194 49.87 -3.22 37.16 64.64 42.17 -0.001 374.4
Operating Margin 32.09% 31.01% 32.51% 5.96% 52.48% 41.36% -7.04% 54.27% 65.52% 43.95% -0.001% 32.99%
Net Income 60.78 37.16 40.95 -15.54 184.2 47.49 -14.21 14.23 90.12 75.52 -0.001 208.7
Net Margin 25.21% 6.06% 6.56% -2.62% 49.83% 39.39% -31.1% 20.79% 91.35% 78.69% -0.001% 18.39%
Cash from Operating Activities 210.6 433.3 462.4 487.5 165 65.93 26.02 55.23 77.88 80.79 51.28 411.4
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 66.93% 70.62% 74.06% 82.16% 44.63% 54.67% 56.93% 80.67% 78.94% 84.18% 73.13% 36.25%
Capital Expenditure -145.8 -152.2 -329.9 -170.5 -558.4 -38.74 -35.84 -0.592 -1.74 -3.52 -5.04 -306.8
Free Cash Flow 64.86 281.1 132.5 317 -393.4 27.19 -9.82 54.64 76.14 77.27 46.24 104.6
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Discounting Cash Flows

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