AT&T Inc. (T) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
T
AT&T Inc.
T (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 687.9 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 533.7 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 78.75 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 612.4 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 18.23 Bil. USD
Total Debt 174 Bil. USD
Equity Value 456.7 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 7.17 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 63.7 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.04%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.19%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 13.72%
Cost of Equity 6.75%
Equity Weight 54.17%
Cost of Debt 3.91%
Debt Weight 45.83%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 0%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR -1.33%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
Revenue 125,648 125,648 125,648 125,648 125,648 125,648
Revenue Growth Rate 2.71% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Operating Cash Flow 40,284 35,420 35,420 35,420 35,420 35,420
Operating Cash Flow Margin 32.06% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19%
Capital Expenditure 20,842 17,239 17,239 17,239 17,239 17,239
Capital Expenditure Margin 16.59% 13.72% 13.72% 13.72% 13.72% 13.72%
Free Cash Flow 19,442 18,181 18,181 18,181 18,181 18,181
Free Cash Flow Margin 15.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47%
Compounded Discount Rate
4.55% 10% 15.74% 21.77% 28.12%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 19,442 17,390 16,529 15,708 14,930 14,191

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 14
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 145,353 125,648 125,648 122,336 122,428 120,741 134,038 171,760 181,193 170,756 160,546 163,786
Revenue Growth Rate -0.999% 0% 2.71% -0.075% 1.4% -9.92% -21.96% -5.21% 6.11% 6.36% -1.98% 11.57%
Cost of Revenue 75,380 20,234 25,424 69,801 68,900 50,848 60,407 108,436 112,358 107,849 102,197 102,731
Gross Profit 69,983 105,414 100,224 52,535 53,528 69,893 73,631 63,324 68,907 62,956 58,349 61,055
Gross Margin 49.87% 83.9% 79.77% 42.94% 43.72% 57.89% 54.93% 36.87% 38.03% 36.87% 36.34% 37.28%
Operating Income 22,804 23,583 24,162 24,261 24,768 -4,587 25,897 25,717 30,377 27,289 23,507 25,874
Operating Margin 15.61% 18.77% 19.23% 19.83% 20.23% -3.8% 19.32% 14.97% 16.76% 15.98% 14.64% 15.8%
Net Income 13,746 21,889 21,889 10,948 14,400 -8,524 20,081 -5,176 13,903 19,370 29,450 12,976
Net Margin 9.61% 17.42% 17.42% 8.95% 11.76% -7.06% 14.98% -3.01% 7.67% 11.34% 18.34% 7.92%
Cash from Operating Activities 40,399 40,284 40,284 38,771 38,314 32,023 41,957 43,130 48,668 43,602 38,010 39,344
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.19% 32.06% 32.06% 31.69% 31.3% 26.52% 31.3% 25.11% 26.86% 25.53% 23.68% 24.02%
Capital Expenditure 19,453 20,842 20,842 20,263 17,853 19,626 16,527 15,675 19,435 20,758 20,647 21,516
Capital Expenditure Margin 13.72% 16.59% 16.59% 16.56% 14.58% 16.25% 12.33% 9.13% 10.73% 12.16% 12.86% 13.14%
Free Cash Flow 20,946 19,442 19,442 18,508 20,461 12,397 25,430 27,455 29,233 22,844 17,363 17,828
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Discounting Cash Flows

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