AT&T Inc. (T) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
T
AT&T Inc.
T (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 549.2 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 253.4 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 126.3 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 379.8 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 18.23 Bil. USD
Total Debt 174 Bil. USD
Equity Value 224 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 7.17 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 31.25 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.04%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.19%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -13.72%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31 2035-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
2035
Dec 31
Revenue 124,392 123,844 123,993 124,836 126,384 128,659 131,695 135,541 140,258 145,924
Revenue Growth Rate -1% -0.44% 0.12% 0.68% 1.24% 1.8% 2.36% 2.92% 3.48% 4.04%
Operating Cash Flow 35,066 34,912 34,954 35,191 35,628 36,269 37,125 38,209 39,539 41,136
Operating Cash Flow Margin 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19% 28.19%
Capital Expenditure -17,067 -16,991 -17,012 -17,127 -17,340 -17,652 -18,069 -18,596 -19,243 -20,021
Capital Expenditure Margin -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72% -13.72%
Free Cash Flow 17,999 17,920 17,942 18,064 18,288 18,617 19,056 19,613 20,295 21,115
Free Cash Flow Margin 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47% 14.47%
Compounded Discount Rate 7.02% 15.62% 24.94% 34.99% 45.84% 57.56% 70.27% 83.96% 98.75% 114.7%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 16,820 15,499 14,360 13,382 12,540 11,815 11,192 10,661 10,212 9,833

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 14
2025
Dec 31
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
Revenue 145,353 125,648 125,648 122,336 122,428 120,741 134,038 171,760 181,193 170,756 160,546 163,786
Revenue Growth Rate -0.999% 0% 2.71% -0.075% 1.4% -9.92% -21.96% -5.21% 6.11% 6.36% -1.98% 11.57%
Cost of Revenue 75,380 20,234 25,424 69,801 68,900 50,848 60,407 108,436 112,358 107,849 102,197 102,731
Gross Profit 69,983 105,414 100,224 52,535 53,528 69,893 73,631 63,324 68,907 62,956 58,349 61,055
Gross Margin 49.87% 83.9% 79.77% 42.94% 43.72% 57.89% 54.93% 36.87% 38.03% 36.87% 36.34% 37.28%
Operating Income 22,804 23,583 24,162 24,261 24,768 -4,587 25,897 25,717 30,377 27,289 23,507 25,874
Operating Margin 15.61% 18.77% 19.23% 19.83% 20.23% -3.8% 19.32% 14.97% 16.76% 15.98% 14.64% 15.8%
Net Income 13,746 21,889 21,889 10,948 14,400 -8,524 20,081 -5,176 13,903 19,370 29,450 12,976
Net Margin 9.61% 17.42% 17.42% 8.95% 11.76% -7.06% 14.98% -3.01% 7.67% 11.34% 18.34% 7.92%
Cash from Operating Activities 40,399 40,284 40,284 38,771 38,314 32,023 41,957 43,130 48,668 43,602 38,010 39,344
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 28.19% 32.06% 32.06% 31.69% 31.3% 26.52% 31.3% 25.11% 26.86% 25.53% 23.68% 24.02%
Capital Expenditure -19,453 -20,842 -20,842 -20,263 -17,853 -19,626 -16,527 -15,675 -19,435 -20,758 -20,647 -21,516
Free Cash Flow 20,946 19,442 19,442 18,508 20,461 12,397 25,430 27,455 29,233 22,844 17,363 17,828
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Discounting Cash Flows

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