Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Discounted Free Cash Flow - Perpetuity - Discounting Cash Flows
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
TM (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

Discounted Free Cash Flow calculates the value of a share based on the company's estimated future Free Cash Flow figures.

See our GitHub Model Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Equity Weight * Cost of Equity + Debt Weight * Cost of Debt * (1 - Tax Rate)

Calculated using Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) formula. It represents a firm’s average after-tax cost of capital from all sources, including common stock, preferred stock, bonds, and other forms of debt.

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Cost of Equity

Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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Cost of Debt

Cost of Debt = Interest Expense / Total Debt

The cost of debt is the effective rate that a company pays on its debt, such as bonds and loans.

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Equity & Debt Weights

Debt Weight = Total Debt / (Market Capitalization + Total Debt) = 1 - Equity Weight

The Equity Weight represents the proportion of equity-based financing (Market Capitalization), while the Debt Weight represents the proportion of debt-based financing (Total Debt).


Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

The overall tax rate paid by the company on its earned income.

↳ Beta

Beta

Beta measures the volatility of a stock's price in relation to the overall stock market. A higher beta indicates greater price fluctuations relative to the market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the return an investor expects from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified time period. By default, it is set to the current yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

The market risk premium represents the additional return over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the risks associated with equities.

↳ Tax Rate

Tax Rate

Tax Rate = Income Tax Expense / Income Before Tax

This is the company’s effective tax rate, reflecting the average rate of tax actually paid on its pre-tax earnings (including all statutory, deferred, and non-recurring items).

This rate is used to adjust the after-tax cost of debt, since interest expense is tax-deductible.

Discount Rate

Discount Rate =
Debt Weight × Cost of Debt × (1 − Tax Rate)
+ Equity Weight × Cost of Equity

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 1,197 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 1,041 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 16.67 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 1,058 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 54.84 Bil. USD
Total Debt 269.5 Bil. USD
Equity Value 902.5 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 1.3 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 692.4 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.26%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 10.01%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin 10.75%
Cost of Equity 5.12%
Equity Weight 52.32%
Cost of Debt 0.387%
Debt Weight 47.68%
Forecasted Revenue - 5 Year CAGR 3.36%
Forecasted Free Cash Flow - 5 Year CAGR

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-03-31 2027-03-31 2028-03-31 2029-03-31 2030-03-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Mar 31
2026
Mar 31
2027
Mar 31
2028
Mar 31
2029
Mar 31
2030
Mar 31
Revenue 320,213 330,988 342,126 353,638 365,538 377,838
Revenue Growth Rate 7.47% 3.36% 3.36% 3.36% 3.36% 3.36%
Operating Cash Flow 24,644 33,132 34,247 35,399 36,590 37,822
Operating Cash Flow Margin 7.7% 10.01% 10.01% 10.01% 10.01% 10.01%
Capital Expenditure 35,049 29,819 30,822 31,859 32,931 34,039
Capital Expenditure Margin 10.95% 9.01% 9.01% 9.01% 9.01% 9.01%
Free Cash Flow -10,406 3,313 3,425 3,540 3,659 3,782
Free Cash Flow Margin -3.25% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Compounded Discount Rate
0.451% 3.29% 6.21% 9.21% 12.3%
Discounted Free Cash Flow -10,406 3,298 3,316 3,333 3,350 3,368

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 31
2025
Mar 31
2024
Mar 31
2023
Mar 31
2022
Mar 31
2021
Mar 31
2020
Mar 31
2019
Mar 31
2018
Mar 31
2017
Mar 31
2016
Mar 31
Revenue 277,013 319,066 320,213 297,945 279,660 257,783 245,748 277,729 272,605 276,402 247,685 252,305
Revenue Growth Rate 3.36% -0.358% 7.47% 6.54% 8.49% 4.9% -11.52% 1.88% -1.37% 11.59% -1.83% 11.23%
Cost of Revenue 225,264 261,721 256,365 236,048 232,142 208,725 202,111 227,689 223,507 224,749 204,041 200,804
Gross Profit 51,749 57,344 63,847 61,896 47,518 49,057 43,636 50,040 49,098 51,653 43,644 51,501
Gross Margin 18.66% 17.97% 19.94% 20.77% 16.99% 19.03% 17.76% 18.02% 18.01% 18.69% 17.62% 20.41%
Operating Income 24,611 28,021 31,967 35,367 20,511 24,610 19,846 22,310 22,255 22,578 17,899 25,352
Operating Margin 8.84% 8.78% 9.98% 11.87% 7.33% 9.55% 8.08% 8.03% 8.16% 8.17% 7.23% 10.05%
Net Income 22,987 29,922 31,764 32,671 18,451 23,414 20,275 18,934 16,982 23,463 16,434 20,544
Net Margin 8.23% 9.38% 9.92% 10.97% 6.6% 9.08% 8.25% 6.82% 6.23% 8.49% 6.64% 8.14%
Cash from Operating Activities 27,654 31,169 24,644 27,792 22,243 30,581 232.2 22,304 33,971 39,608 32,027 39,626
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 10.01% 9.77% 7.7% 9.33% 7.95% 11.86% 0.094% 8.03% 12.46% 14.33% 12.93% 15.71%
Capital Expenditure 29,867 30,214 35,049 33,355 27,894 31,465 297.1 34,839 33,721 33,857 31,784 36,058
Capital Expenditure Margin 10.74% 9.47% 10.95% 11.19% 9.97% 12.21% 0.121% 12.54% 12.37% 12.25% 12.83% 14.29%
Free Cash Flow -2,338 954.8 -10,406 -5,563 -5,651 -884.2 -64.91 -12,536 249.9 5,751 -1,142 3,568
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Discounting Cash Flows

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