Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
TM
Toyota Motor Corporation
TM (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

Return On Equity

Return on Equity

Return On Equity (ROE) is used to estimate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) expressed as a percentage of Book Value.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow in perpetuity. By default, this is equal to the yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Results

Estimated Value 6.79 Thou. USD
Book value of equity invested 194.4 USD
Next year's estimated book value 187.2 USD
Present value of future excess returns 6.6 Thou. USD
Excess Return per share 173.3 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 5.12%
Average historical Return on Equity 114.8%
Average historical Payout Ratio 28.17%
Payout Ratio used 97.5%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Mar 31
LTM
Jan 31
2026
Mar 31
2027
Mar 31
2028
Mar 31
2029
Mar 31
2030
Mar 31
Beginning Book Value 167.3 182.6 182.6 187.2 191.9 196.7 201.6
Ending Book Value 182.6 194.4 187.2 191.9 196.7 201.6 206.6
EPS 23.97 22.87 182.6 187.2 191.9 196.7 201.6
Return on Equity 14.05% 12.5% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Dividend per Share 5.63 5.63 178.1 182.5 187.1 191.7 196.5
Retained Earnings 18.34 17.24 4.57 4.68 4.8 4.92 5.04
Equity Cost per Share 8.58 9.36 9.36 9.59 9.83 10.08 10.33
Cost of Equity 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12% 5.12%
Excess Return 15.39 13.51 173.3 177.6 182.0 186.6 191.3

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 31
2025
Mar 31
2024
Mar 31
2023
Mar 31
2022
Mar 31
2021
Mar 31
2020
Mar 31
2019
Mar 31
2018
Mar 31
2017
Mar 31
2016
Mar 31
Net Income 22,987 29,922 31,764 32,671 18,451 23,414 20,275 18,934 16,982 23,463 16,434 20,544
Total Equity 186,226 253,447 239,475 226,098 213,305 215,611 237,001 1,776 179,542 176,268 157,195 148,763
Return on Equity 114.8% 12.5% 14.05% 15.32% 8.56% 9.88% 1,142% 10.55% 9.63% 14.93% 11.05% 14.69%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 6,217 7,338 7,383 6,581 6,146 5,499 6,359 5,934 5,772 5,821 5,655 5,896
Payout Ratio 28.17% 24.62% 23.49% 20.14% 33.31% 23.49% 31.36% 31.34% 33.98% 24.81% 34.59% 28.78%
Shares Outstanding 1,408 1,303 1,311 1,351 1,366 1,389 1,398 1,399 1,436 1,474 1,504 1,556
EPS 16.47 22.87 23.97 24.18 13.51 16.86 14.51 13.53 11.83 15.92 10.87 13.17
Dividend per Share 4.45 5.63 5.63 4.87 4.5 3.96 4.55 4.24 4.02 3.95 3.76 3.79
Book Value 133.8 194.4 182.6 167.3 156.2 155.3 169.6 1.27 125.0 119.6 104.5 95.63
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