Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited (TNP-PD) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
TNP-PD
Tsakos Energy Navigation Limited
TNP-PD (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value -2.2 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value -1.01 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow -495.1 Mil. USD
Enterprise Value -1.51 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 287.2 Mil. USD
Total Debt 1.83 Bil. USD
Equity Value -3.05 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 29.66 Mil. USD
Estimated Value per Share -102.8 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.09%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 32.2%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -38.72%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2025-12-31 2026-12-31 2027-12-31 2028-12-31 2029-12-31 2030-12-31 2031-12-31 2032-12-31 2033-12-31 2034-12-31

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Dec 31
2026
Dec 31
2027
Dec 31
2028
Dec 31
2029
Dec 31
2030
Dec 31
2031
Dec 31
2032
Dec 31
2033
Dec 31
2034
Dec 31
Revenue 849.9 896.9 944.9 993.7 1,043 1,093 1,144 1,195 1,246 1,297
Revenue Growth Rate 5.71% 5.53% 5.35% 5.17% 4.99% 4.81% 4.63% 4.45% 4.27% 4.09%
Operating Cash Flow 273.7 288.8 304.3 320 335.9 352.1 368.4 384.8 401.2 417.6
Operating Cash Flow Margin 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2% 32.2%
Capital Expenditure -329.1 -347.3 -365.9 -384.8 -404 -423.4 -443 -462.7 -482.5 -502.2
Capital Expenditure Margin -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72% -38.72%
Free Cash Flow -55.42 -58.48 -61.61 -64.79 -68.02 -71.29 -74.59 -77.91 -81.24 -84.56
Free Cash Flow Margin -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52% -6.52%
Compounded Discount Rate 0% 6.63% 15.25% 24.6% 34.68% 45.58% 57.36% 70.12% 83.88% 98.76%
Discounted Free Cash Flow -55.42 -54.85 -53.45 -52 -50.51 -48.97 -47.4 -45.8 -44.18 -42.54

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Mar 05
2024
Dec 31
2023
Dec 31
2022
Dec 31
2021
Dec 31
2020
Dec 31
2019
Dec 31
2018
Dec 31
2017
Dec 31
2016
Dec 31
2015
Dec 31
Revenue 659 778.8 804.1 889.6 860.4 546.1 644.1 597.5 529.9 529.2 481.8 587.7
Revenue Growth Rate 5.71% -3.14% -9.61% 3.39% 57.55% -15.22% 7.81% 12.75% 0.132% 9.84% -18.02% 17.31%
Cost of Revenue 478.4 518.6 529.1 519 573.8 544.7 483.2 456.3 464.7 426.6 366.4 379.9
Gross Profit 180.6 260.2 275 370.6 286.6 1.46 161 141.2 65.22 102.6 115.4 207.8
Gross Margin 25.68% 33.41% 34.2% 41.66% 33.32% 0.267% 24.99% 23.63% 12.31% 19.39% 23.96% 35.36%
Operating Income 135.9 206.9 229.6 337.3 256.4 -31 96.69 85.86 -28.14 63.48 89.81 188.1
Operating Margin 18.53% 26.56% 28.55% 37.91% 29.79% -5.68% 15.01% 14.37% -5.31% 12% 18.64% 32%
Net Income 58.5 109.8 175.3 300.2 204.2 -189.8 -25.65 -53.01 -99.2 7.61 55.78 158.2
Net Margin 6.09% 14.1% 21.8% 33.74% 23.74% -34.75% -3.98% -8.87% -18.72% 1.44% 11.58% 26.92%
Cash from Operating Activities 220.6 351.3 302.9 391.3 288.5 53.11 205.4 184.3 73.94 170.8 170.4 234.4
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 32.2% 45.11% 37.67% 43.99% 33.53% 9.72% 31.89% 30.86% 13.96% 32.28% 35.36% 39.88%
Capital Expenditure -248.9 0 -650 -298.4 -333.4 -61.23 -188.2 -102.2 -17.32 -293.3 -576.1 -217.5
Free Cash Flow -28.3 351.3 -347.1 92.94 -44.84 -8.12 17.18 82.14 56.63 -122.5 -405.7 16.89
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Discounting Cash Flows

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