TSR, Inc. (TSRI) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
TSRI
TSR, Inc.
TSRI (NASDAQ)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

Return On Equity

Return on Equity

Return On Equity (ROE) is used to estimate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) expressed as a percentage of Book Value.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow in perpetuity. By default, this is equal to the yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Results

Estimated Value 14.02 USD
Book value of equity invested 8.22 USD
Next year's estimated book value 7.75 USD
Present value of future excess returns 5.8 USD
Excess Return per share 0.292 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.53%
Average historical Return on Equity 11.39%
Average historical Payout Ratio 280.9%
Payout Ratio used 78.05%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.29%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2023
May 31
LTM
Feb 05
2024
May 31
2025
May 31
2026
May 31
2027
May 31
2028
May 31
Beginning Book Value 7.14 7.56 7.56 7.75 7.95 8.14 8.35
Ending Book Value 7.56 8.22 7.75 7.95 8.14 8.35 8.56
EPS 0.81 0.89 0.861 0.883 0.905 0.928 0.951
Return on Equity 12.05% 11.8% 11.39% 11.39% 11.39% 11.39% 11.39%
Dividend per Share
2.5 0.672 0.689 0.706 0.724 0.742
Retained Earnings
-1.61 0.189 0.194 0.199 0.204 0.209
Equity Cost per Share 0.538 0.57 0.57 0.584 0.598 0.613 0.629
Cost of Equity 7.53% 7.53% 7.53% 7.53% 7.53% 7.53% 7.53%
Excess Return 0.272 0.32 0.292 0.299 0.307 0.314 0.322

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Feb 05
2023
May 31
2022
May 31
2021
May 31
2020
May 31
2019
May 31
2018
May 31
2017
May 31
2016
May 31
2015
May 31
2014
May 31
Net Income 0.806 1.91 1.74 6.93 -0.577 -1.1 -1.3 0.486 0.268 0.399 0.193 -0.086
Total Equity 9.97 17.69 16.2 14.46 5.4 5.76 6.89 8.22 7.74 9.43 9.03 8.84
Return on Equity 11.39% 11.8% 12.05% 128.4% -10.02% -15.94% -15.8% 6.28% 2.84% 4.42% 2.18% -0.963%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 5.38 5.38
Payout Ratio 280.9% 280.9%
Shares Outstanding 2 2.15 2.14 2.02 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96 1.96
EPS 0.387 0.89 0.81 3.42 -0.29 -0.56 -0.66 0.25 0.14 0.2 0.1 -0.044
Dividend per Share 2.5 2.5
Book Value 4.92 8.22 7.56 7.14 2.75 2.94 3.51 4.19 3.94 4.81 4.6 4.51
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Discounting Cash Flows

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