Visa Inc. (V) Nathan Winklepleck, CFA's Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow - Discounting Cash Flows
V
Visa Inc.
V (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Nathan's Discounted Free Cash Flow Model

The Discounted Free Cash Flow (DCF) model calculates the value of a company by estimating its future Free Cash Flows to the Firm (FCFF) and discounting them to their present value. The value of a share is then derived by adjusting for net debt and dividing by the number of shares outstanding.

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Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = 10 Year Treasury Note Yield + 4%

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow indefinitely. By default, this rate equals the yield of the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of years of historical data used to calculate averages and trends for analysis.

Projection Years

Projection Years

The number of years into the future for which the analysis projects financial performance and metrics.

Revenue Growth Rate

Revenue Growth Rate

The annual growth rate applied to projected revenue, starting from the second projection year onward.

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Operating Cash Flow Margin

Projected Operating Cash Flow = Projected Revenue * Operating Cash Flow Margin

This margin represents the percentage of revenue used to estimate future Operating Cash Flow.

Capital Expenditure Margin

Capital Expenditure Margin

Projected Free Cash Flow = Projected Operating Cash Flow - Projected Revenue * Capital Expenditure Margin

This margin is used to estimate future capital expenditures as a percentage of revenue, which in turn is subtracted from Operating Cash Flow to calculate Free Cash Flow.

Results

Terminal Value 1,099 Bil. USD
Discounted Terminal Value 500.9 Bil. USD
Sum of Discounted Free Cash Flow 215.8 Bil. USD
Enterprise Value 716.8 Bil. USD
Cash and Equivalents 17.16 Bil. USD
Total Debt 25.17 Bil. USD
Equity Value 710.6 Bil. USD
Shares Outstanding 1.92 Bil. USD
Estimated Value per Share 369.3 USD
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note 4.17%
Average Cash from Operating Activities Margin 55.83%
Average Capital Expenditure Margin -3.44%

Monetary values in USD

Edit Chart Values 2026-09-30 2027-09-30 2028-09-30 2029-09-30 2030-09-30 2031-09-30 2032-09-30 2033-09-30 2034-09-30 2035-09-30

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2026
Sep 30
2027
Sep 30
2028
Sep 30
2029
Sep 30
2030
Sep 30
2031
Sep 30
2032
Sep 30
2033
Sep 30
2034
Sep 30
2035
Sep 30
Revenue 44,144 48,414 52,763 57,141 61,489 65,745 69,843 73,716 77,297 80,520
Revenue Growth Rate 10.36% 9.67% 8.98% 8.3% 7.61% 6.92% 6.23% 5.55% 4.86% 4.17%
Operating Cash Flow 24,646 27,029 29,458 31,902 34,329 36,705 38,993 41,156 43,155 44,954
Operating Cash Flow Margin 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83% 55.83%
Capital Expenditure -1,519 -1,666 -1,816 -1,966 -2,116 -2,262 -2,403 -2,537 -2,660 -2,771
Capital Expenditure Margin -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44% -3.44%
Free Cash Flow 23,127 25,363 27,642 29,936 32,213 34,443 36,590 38,619 40,495 42,184
Free Cash Flow Margin 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39% 52.39%
Compounded Discount Rate 5.68% 14.32% 23.69% 33.79% 44.72% 56.55% 69.37% 83.21% 98.18% 114.4%
Discounted Free Cash Flow 21,882 22,186 22,349 22,375 22,259 22,002 21,603 21,079 20,434 19,678

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 16
2025
Sep 30
2024
Sep 30
2023
Sep 30
2022
Sep 30
2021
Sep 30
2020
Sep 30
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
Revenue 27,351 40,000 40,000 35,926 32,653 29,310 24,105 21,846 22,977 20,609 18,358 15,082
Revenue Growth Rate 10.36% 0% 11.34% 10.02% 11.41% 21.59% 10.34% -4.92% 11.49% 12.26% 21.72% 8.66%
Cost of Revenue 5,324 7,855 7,855 7,042 6,567 5,733 4,970 4,512 4,165 3,856 3,248 2,764
Gross Profit 22,027 32,145 32,145 28,884 26,086 23,577 19,135 17,334 18,812 16,753 15,110 12,318
Gross Margin 80.67% 80.36% 80.36% 80.4% 79.89% 80.44% 79.38% 79.35% 81.87% 81.29% 82.31% 81.67%
Operating Income 17,206 23,994 23,994 23,595 21,000 18,813 15,804 14,081 15,001 12,954 12,144 7,883
Operating Margin 62.79% 59.98% 59.98% 65.68% 64.31% 64.19% 65.56% 64.46% 65.29% 62.86% 66.15% 52.27%
Net Income 13,667 20,058 20,058 19,743 17,273 14,957 12,311 10,866 12,080 10,301 6,699 5,991
Net Margin 48.98% 50.14% 50.14% 54.95% 52.9% 51.03% 51.07% 49.74% 52.57% 49.98% 36.49% 39.72%
Cash from Operating Activities 15,602 23,059 23,059 19,950 20,755 18,849 15,227 10,440 12,784 12,713 9,208 5,574
Cash from Operating Activities Margin 55.83% 57.65% 57.65% 55.53% 63.56% 64.31% 63.17% 47.79% 55.64% 61.69% 50.16% 36.96%
Capital Expenditure -945 -1,482 -1,482 -1,257 -1,059 -970 -705 -736 -756 -718 -707 -523
Free Cash Flow 14,657 21,577 21,577 18,693 19,696 17,879 14,522 9,704 12,028 11,995 8,501 5,051
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Discounting Cash Flows

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