Visa Inc. (V) Simple Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
V
Visa Inc.
V (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Simple Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies that have reached maturity and earn stable excess returns with little to no high growth chance. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

See our GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Discount Rate

Discount Rate

Discount Rate = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + Beta * Market Premium

The cost of equity is the theoretical rate of return that an equity investment should generate. It is calculated using the CAPM formula.

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↳ Beta

Beta

Beta is a value that measures the price fluctuations (volatility) of a stock with respect to fluctuations in the overall stock market.

↳ Risk Free Rate

Risk-Free Rate

The risk-free rate represents the interest an investor would expect from an absolutely risk-free investment over a specified period of time. By default, it is equal to the current yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

↳ Market Premium

Market Premium

Market risk premium represents the excess returns over the risk-free rate that investors expect for taking on the incremental risks connected to the equities market.

Return On Equity

Return on Equity

Return On Equity (ROE) is used to estimate the Earnings Per Share (EPS) expressed as a percentage of Book Value.

Growth In Perpetuity

Growth in Perpetuity

The rate at which the company's free cash flow is assumed to grow in perpetuity. By default, this is equal to the yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond.

Historical Years

Historical Years

The number of historical years used to calculate averages for historical data.

Results

Estimated Value 130.2 USD
Book value of equity invested 19.7 USD
Next year's estimated book value 20.01 USD
Present value of future excess returns 110.5 USD
Excess Return per share 5.86 USD
Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 7.8%
Average historical Return on Equity 37.84%
Average historical Payout Ratio 22.84%
Payout Ratio used 93.39%
Risk Free Rate of the 10 Year U.S. Treasury Note 4.17%

Historical and Forecasted Data

Monetary values in USD

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

2025
Sep 30
LTM
Jan 16
2026
Sep 30
2027
Sep 30
2028
Sep 30
2029
Sep 30
2030
Sep 30
Beginning Book Value 19.29 19.52 19.52 20.01 20.51 21.02 21.55
Ending Book Value 19.52 19.7 20.01 20.51 21.02 21.55 22.09
EPS 10.22 10.21 7.39 7.57 7.76 7.95 8.15
Return on Equity 51.25% 52.91% 37.84% 37.84% 37.84% 37.84% 37.84%
Dividend per Share 2.44 2.44 6.9 7.07 7.25 7.43 7.61
Retained Earnings 7.78 7.77 0.488 0.5 0.513 0.526 0.539
Equity Cost per Share 1.51 1.52 1.52 1.56 1.6 1.64 1.68
Cost of Equity 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8% 7.8%
Excess Return 8.71 8.69 5.86 6.01 6.16 6.31 6.47

Monetary values in USD

amounts except #

Average LTM
Jan 16
2025
Sep 30
2024
Sep 30
2023
Sep 30
2022
Sep 30
2021
Sep 30
2020
Sep 30
2019
Sep 30
2018
Sep 30
2017
Sep 30
2016
Sep 30
Net Income 13,667 20,058 20,058 19,743 17,273 14,957 12,311 10,866 12,080 10,301 6,699 5,991
Total Equity 36,130 37,909 37,909 39,137 38,733 35,581 37,589 36,210 34,684 34,006 32,760 32,912
Return on Equity 37.84% 52.91% 51.25% 50.97% 48.55% 39.79% 34% 31.33% 35.52% 31.44% 20.35% 20.08%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 3,070 4,695 4,738 4,362 3,899 3,354 2,855 2,611 2,299 1,971 1,590 1,396
Payout Ratio 22.84% 23.9% 23.87% 22.07% 22.56% 22.4% 23.8% 24.9% 19.74% 19.86% 24.64% 23.49%
Shares Outstanding 2,137 1,924 1,942 2,029 2,085 2,136 2,130 2,140 2,189 2,239 2,305 2,386
EPS 6.46 10.21 10.22 9.74 8.29 7.01 5.63 4.9 5.32 4.43 2.8 2.49
Dividend per Share 1.48 2.44 2.44 2.15 1.87 1.57 1.34 1.22 1.05 0.88 0.69 0.585
Book Value 17.03 19.7 19.52 19.29 18.58 16.66 17.64 16.92 15.84 15.19 14.21 13.79
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