Ameren Corporation (AEE) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Ameren Corporation
AEE (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

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Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value 123.6 USD
Book value of equity invested 45.26 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage 7.74 USD
Terminal stage EPS 5.7 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 55.64 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 3.59 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage 70.61 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage 96.51 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 6.45%
Terminal year's excess return 2.11 USD
Average historical Return on Equity 10.24%
Average historical Payout Ratio 61.06%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 58.4%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.26%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value 43.18 45.4 45.4 47.24 49.18 51.22 53.37
Ending Book Value 45.4 45.26 47.24 49.18 51.22 53.37 55.64
EPS 4.43 4.52 4.65 4.84 5.04 5.24 5.47
Return on Equity 10.42% 9.99% 10.24% 10.24% 10.24% 10.24% 10.24%
Dividend per Share 2.68 2.76 2.81 2.9 2.99 3.09 3.19
Payout Ratio 60.5% 61.06% 60.53% 59.99% 59.46% 58.93% 58.4%
Retained Earnings 1.75 1.76 1.84 1.94 2.04 2.15 2.27
Equity Cost 2.78 2.93 2.93 3.05 3.17 3.3 3.44
Cost of Equity 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45% 6.45%
Excess Return 1.65 1.59 1.72 1.79 1.87 1.94 2.02
Discounted Excess Return
1.62 1.58 1.55 1.51 1.48

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income 902.5 1,210 1,182 1,152 1,074 990 871 828 815 523 653 630
Total Stockholders Equity 9,250 12,219 12,114 11,349 10,508 9,700 8,938 8,059 7,631 7,184 7,103 6,946
Return on Equity 10.24% 9.99% 10.42% 10.96% 11.07% 11.08% 10.81% 10.85% 11.34% 7.36% 9.4% 9.38%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 542 745.2 715 662.3 609.8 563.9 494 471.6 451 431.8 417.3 400.3
Payout Ratio 61.06% 61.06% 60.5% 57.53% 56.73% 56.99% 56.66% 56.97% 55.39% 82.41% 63.94% 63.46%
Shares Outstanding 252.6 270 266.8 262.8 258.4 256.3 247 245.6 243.8 242.6 242.6 242.6
Earnings per Share 3.55 4.52 4.43 4.38 4.16 3.86 3.53 3.37 3.34 2.16 2.69 2.6
Dividend per Share 2.13 2.76 2.68 2.52 2.36 2.2 2.0 1.92 1.85 1.78 1.72 1.65
Dividend Growth Rate 5.04% 2.99% 6.35% 6.78% 7.27% 10% 4.17% 3.78% 3.93% 3.49% 4.24% 2.48%
Book Value 36.38 45.26 45.4 43.18 40.67 37.85 36.19 32.81 31.3 29.61 29.28 28.63
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Discounting Cash Flows

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