Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (AHT-PF) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc.
AHT-PF (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -214 Thou. USD
Book value of equity invested -44.25 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -31.12 Thou. USD
Terminal stage EPS -35.01 Thou. USD
Terminal stage Book Value -7.18 Thou. USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost -999.8 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -182.8 Thou. USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -350.9 Thou. USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 13.93%
Terminal year's excess return -34.01 Thou. USD
Average historical Return on Equity 487.7%
Average historical Payout Ratio -4.63%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 99.13%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value -75.39 -52.63 -52.63 -268.0 -1092 -3351 -6885
Ending Book Value -52.63 -44.25 -268.0 -1092 -3351 -6885 -7177
EPS -8.09 -29.19 -256.7 -1306 -5330 -16345 -33581
Return on Equity 23.09% 61.3% 487.7% 487.7% 487.7% 487.7% 487.7%
Dividend per Share 1.84 1.84 -41.38 -481.9 -3071 -12811 -33289
Payout Ratio -22.74% -6.3% 16.12% 36.87% 57.63% 78.38% 99.13%
Retained Earnings -9.93 -31.03 -215.3 -824.9 -2258 -3534 -292.0
Equity Cost -10.5 -7.33 -7.33 -37.33 -152.2 -466.9 -959.2
Cost of Equity 13.93% 13.93% 13.93% 13.93% 13.93% 13.93% 13.93%
Excess Return 2.41 -21.86 -249.4 -1269 -5177 -15878 -32622
Discounted Excess Return
-218.9 -978.0 -3501 -9424 -16995

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income -140.7 -151.8 -60.3 -178.5 -141.1 -271 -633.2 -142.7 -127 -67.01 -46.28 270.9
Total Stockholders Equity 160.3 -250.1 -247.7 -261.1 -148.3 -2.65 -283.6 268.8 452.5 632.5 791.6 811.1
Return on Equity 487.7% 61.3% 23.09% 120.3% 5,315% 95.57% -235.6% -31.53% -20.07% -8.46% -5.71% 50.96%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 4.82 10.4 8.66 6.37 6.32 10.99 0.073 0.184 0.179 0.175
Payout Ratio -0.859% -6.3% -22.74% -3.57% -4.48% -4.05% -0.011% -0.129% -0.141% -0.261% 16.12% 16.12%
Shares Outstanding 1.94 5.65 4.71 3.46 3.43 3.4 0.158 0.1 0.097 0.095 0.094 0.096
Earnings per Share -520.6 -29.19 -8.09 -51.53 -41.08 -79.68 -4018 -1429 -1305 -703.8 -490.8 2430
Dividend per Share 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 1.84 3.23 0.461 1.84 1.84 1.84
Dividend Growth Rate 160.9% 0% 0% 0% -43.03% 600.7% -74.95% 0% 0%
Book Value 2616 -44.25 -52.63 -75.39 -43.2 -0.78 -1800 2692 4651 6643 8394 8423
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Discounting Cash Flows

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