Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc. (AHT) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
Ashford Hospitality Trust, Inc.
AHT (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price 6.16 USD

+
* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

#Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -337.9 Thou. USD
Book value of equity invested
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -46.64 Thou. USD
Terminal stage EPS -56.39 Thou. USD
Terminal stage Book Value -11.56 Thou. USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost -1.64 Thou. USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -291.3 Thou. USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -565.1 Thou. USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 14.17%
Terminal year's excess return -54.75 Thou. USD
Average historical Return on Equity 487.8%
Average historical Payout Ratio -23.98%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 99.08%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.48%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

amounts of USD except for #

2024 LTM 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Beginning Book Value -75.39 -52.63 -52.63 -307.8 -1430 -4927 -11064
Ending Book Value -52.63 0.0 -307.8 -1430 -4927 -11064 -11560
EPS -8.09 -29.19 -256.8 -1501 -6975 -24038 -53974
Return on Equity 23.09% 61.94% 487.8% 487.8% 487.8% 487.8% 487.8%
Dividend per Share
29.72 -1.62 -379.0 -3477 -17900 -53479
Payout Ratio 0.632% -101.8% 0.632% 25.24% 49.86% 74.47% 99.08%
Retained Earnings
-58.91 -255.1 -1122 -3497 -6137 -495.7
Equity Cost -10.68 -7.46 -7.46 -43.61 -202.6 -698.3 -1567
Cost of Equity 14.17% 14.17% 14.17% 14.17% 14.17% 14.17% 14.17%
Excess Return 2.59 -21.73 -249.3 -1457 -6773 -23339 -52406
Discounted Excess Return
-218.4 -1118 -4551 -13736 -27016

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015
Net Income -140.9 -153.4 -60.3 -178.5 -141.1 -271 -633.2 -142.7 -127 -67.01 -46.28 270.9
Total Stockholders Equity 201.3 0 -247.7 -261.1 -148.3 -2.65 -283.6 268.8 452.5 632.5 791.6 811.1
Return on Equity 487.8% 61.94% 23.09% 120.3% 5,315% 95.57% -235.6% -31.53% -20.07% -8.46% -5.71% 50.96%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 37.22 167.9
4.61 4.52 4.47 4.57
Payout Ratio -10.55% -101.8% 0.632% 0.632% 0.632% 0.632% 0.632% 0.632% -3.63% -6.74% -9.66% 1.95%
Shares Outstanding 1.94 5.65 4.71 3.46 3.43 3.4 0.158 0.1 0.097 0.095 0.094 0.096
Earnings per Share -520.6 -29.19 -8.09 -51.53 -41.08 -79.68 -4018 -1429 -1305 -703.8 -490.8 2430
Dividend per Share 43.89 29.72
47.43 47.43 47.43 47.43
Dividend Growth Rate 4.36%
0% 0% 0% 4.36%
Book Value 2883 0.0 -52.63 -75.39 -43.2 -0.78 -1800 2692 4651 6643 8394 8423
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Discounting Cash Flows

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