C3.ai, Inc. (AI) Two-Stage Excess Return Model - Discounting Cash Flows
C3.ai, Inc.
AI (NYSE)

Estimated Value

USD

Market Price USD

* Values are not guaranteed, please do your own
research before making investment decisions.

Two-Stage Excess Return Model

Used to estimate the value of companies based on two stages of growth. An initial period of high growth, represented by [Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage], followed by a period of stable growth, represented by [Discounted excess return in terminal stage]. Excess Return models are better suited to calculate the intrinsic value of a financial company than an enterprise valuation model (such as the Discounted Free Cash Flow Model).

Read more: GitHub Documentation

Interactive Assumptions

Results

Estimated Value -6.04 USD
Book value of equity invested 6.29 USD
Sum of discounted excess returns in Growth Stage -4.62 USD
Terminal stage EPS -0.546 USD
Terminal stage Book Value 5.43 USD
Terminal stage Equity Cost 0.709 USD
Discounted excess return in terminal stage -7.71 USD
Excess Returns in the Terminal Stage -14.24 USD
Terminal Cost of Equity (the discount rate) 13.05%
Terminal year's excess return -1.25 USD
Average historical Return on Equity -10.06%
Average historical Payout Ratio -46.88%
Payout Ratio in stable stage 142.1%
Yield of the U.S. 10 Year Treasury Bond 4.24%

Historical and Forecasted Data

In USD

Edit Chart Values 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030

amounts of USD except for #

2025 LTM 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
Beginning Book Value 7.32 6.49 6.49 5.78 5.37 5.19 5.21
Ending Book Value 6.49 6.29 5.78 5.37 5.19 5.21 5.43
EPS -2.24 -2.24 -0.653 -0.582 -0.54 -0.522 -0.524
Return on Equity -33.06% -34.44% -10.06% -10.06% -10.06% -10.06% -10.06%
Dividend per Share
1.05 0.059 -0.167 -0.359 -0.544 -0.745
Payout Ratio -9.07% -46.88% -9.07% 28.73% 66.54% 104.3% 142.1%
Retained Earnings
-3.29 -0.713 -0.414 -0.181 0.023 0.221
Equity Cost 0.955 0.847 0.847 0.754 0.7 0.677 0.68
Cost of Equity 13.05% 13.05% 13.05% 13.05% 13.05% 13.05% 13.05%
Excess Return -3.19 -3.09 -1.5 -1.34 -1.24 -1.2 -1.2
Discounted Excess Return
-1.33 -1.05 -0.858 -0.734 -0.652

amounts of USD except for #

Average LTM 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016
Net Income -184.6 -288.7 -288.7 -279.7 -268.8 -192.1 -55.7 -69.38 -33.35
Total Stockholders Equity 647.8 838.3 838.3 873.4 929.7 989.5 1,061 -182.7 -165.4
Return on Equity -10.06% -34.44% -33.06% -30.09% -27.17% -18.1% 30.49% 41.94% -10.06% -10.06% -10.06% -10.06%
Dividends Paid to Common Shareholders 139.9 139.9
Payout Ratio -12.51% -46.88% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07% -9.07%
Shares Outstanding 103.9 133.2 129.1 119.4 109.9 104.4 66.85 95.16 73.55
Earnings per Share -1.6 -2.24 -2.24 -2.34 -2.45 -1.84 -0.55 -0.73 -0.45
Dividend per Share 1.88 1.05
1.68 2.28 2.5
Dividend Growth Rate -17.26%
-26.32% -8.8% -16.67%
Book Value 6.22 6.29 6.49 7.32 8.46 9.48 15.88 -1.92 -2.25
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Discounting Cash Flows

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